Risk Appetite Come Back as China Mulls Auto Tariff Cuts, Trump Hints on Important Announcements
Action Insight Mid-Day Report 12-11-18

Risk Appetite Come Back as China Mulls Auto Tariff Cuts, Trump Hints on Important Announcements

Risk appetite has a strong come back today on progress in US-China trade negotiations. It's reported that China is considering to response to Trump's request and cut auto tariffs down from 40% to 15%. Trump also tweeted that there were productive conversations with China and urged people to watch for important announcements. At the same time, the arrest of Huawei's executive faded into background as both sides delinked it to trade negotiations.

For now, Australian Dollar is the strongest one for today, followed by New Zealand Dollar. Sterling is trying to pare back some losses but it's still feeling heavy. The pound's fate will depends on the result of UK Prime Minister Theresa May's quick EU tour, in particular the meeting with European Council President Donal Tusk at 1600 GMT. Dollar is trading as the weakest one, followed by Canadian and Yen.

Technically, there is no new developments in the markets, while the pound recovers, it's near term bearish for further decline after brief consolidations. Australian Dollar may finally make up its mind for a rebound and seems to have defended 0.7199 against Dollar. Euro is a tricky one for now as EUR/USD and EUR/JPY are staying in near term range. We'll see if the pull back in EUR/GBP and EUR/AUD would spill over to other pairs.

In other markets, at the time of writing, FTSE is up 1.88%, CAC is up 2.12%, CAC is up 2.15%. German 10 year yield is up 0.0033 at 0.25. Italian 10 year yield is up 0.0042 at 3.101. German-Italian spread remains below 300. Earlier in Asia, Nikkei dropped -0.34%, Hong Kong HSI rose 0.07%, China Shanghai SSE rose 0.37%, Singapore Strait Times dropped -0.43%. Also, Japan 10 year JGB yield rose 0.0057 to 0.047.

Released from US, headline PPI slowed more than expected to 2.5% yoy in November. But core PPI surprised on the upside and accelerated to 2.7% yoy.

Full Report Here
Quick Comments

Top Movers | HeatMap | Pivot Points | Pivot Meters | Action Bias | Vol

Yield Curve Inversion and Global Slowdown Hammered Stocks, Not US-China Trade...

 

ECB Preview – Focus on Reinvestment Plan, New Round of TLTRO

 

US-China Trade Ceasefire: Too Early to be Relieved

 

Central Bank Views | China Watch | Oil N' Gold | Special Topics

USD/JPY Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 112.58; (P) 112.98; (R1) 113.71; More..

Intraday bias in USD/JPY is mildly on the upside for 114.03 resistance. Break there should resume the rebound from 111.37 and target 114.54 key resistance next. On the downside, break of 112.23 will extend the consolidation from 114.54 with deeper fall. But after all, downside should be contained by 38.2% retracement of 104.62 to 114.54 at 110.75 to bring rebound. Larger rise from 104.62 is expected to resume later.

Full Report Here

EURUSD | USDJPY | GBPUSD | USDCHF | AUDUSD | USDCAD

EURJPY | EURGBP | EURCHF | EURAUD | GBPJPY

Recommended Readings

EURGBP Declines Below 3-Month High; Lacks Direction in Long Term

Crude Oil Stabilises Post OPEC+ But Pressure Remains

Pound Under Pressure Despite PM May's Road Trip

Markets See Temporary Reprieve In Otherwise Risk-Off Environment

Business Leaders Of China And The US Mutually Fear New Arrests

Pound Weakens As Brexit Vote In UK Parliament Postponed

WTI Crude Futures Develop In Narrow Range After Strong Sell-Off

Brexit Vote Delayed And Pound Pays The Price

Indian Rupee Rocked By Shock RBI Resignation, Pound Attempts To Find Stability

ECB: A Matter Of Less Accommodation, Not Tightening

Fundamental Analysis | Technical Analysis
In-depth Reports
US: Economy Set To Remain Strong In 2019
Brexit Monitor: Brexit Clash Postponed To January, At The Earliest
Deal or No Deal: Trade Ceasefire Between U.S. and China Full of Promises
China Weekly Letter - Will the Tech War Threaten a Trade Deal?
2019: The Year of the Deal
What to Expect From Central Bankers in 2019
Economic Calendar
GMT Ccy Events Actual Forecast Previous Revised
23:50 JPY Japan Money Stock M2+CD Y/Y Nov 2.30% 2.60% 2.70%
23:50 JPY BSI Large Manufacturing Q/Q Q4 5.5 6.5
00:30 AUD NAB Business Confidence Nov 3 4 5
00:30 AUD NAB Business Conditions Nov 11 12 13
00:30 AUD House Price Index Q/Q Q3 -1.50% -1.50% -0.70%
00:30 AUD House Price Index Y/Y Q3 -1.90% -0.60%
06:00 JPY Machine Tool Orders Y/Y Nov P -16.80% -0.70%
09:30 GBP Jobless Claims Change Nov 21.9K 13.2K 20.2K
09:30 GBP Claimant Count Rate Nov 2.80% 2.70%
09:30 GBP Average Weekly Earnings 3M/Y Oct 3.30% 3.00% 3.00% 3.10%
09:30 GBP Weekly Earnings ex Bonus 3M/Y Oct 3.30% 3.20% 3.20%
09:30 GBP ILO Unemployment Rate 3Mths Oct 4.10% 4.10% 4.10%
10:00 EUR German ZEW Economic Sentiment Dec -17.5 -25 -24.1
10:00 EUR German ZEW Current Situation Dec 45.3 55.6 58.2
10:00 EUR Eurozone ZEW Economic Sentiment Dec -21 -23.2 -22
13:30 USD PPI M/M Nov 0.10% 0.10% 0.60%
13:30 USD PPI Y/Y Nov 2.50% 2.60% 2.90%
13:30 USD PPI Core M/M Nov 0.30% 0.20% 0.50%
13:30 USD PPI Core Y/Y Nov 2.70% 2.50% 2.60%
Action Forex Company Limited, Room 804, 8/F., Prosperity Centre, 982 Canton Road, Mongkok, Kowloon 852 Hong Kong
Sent by contact@actionforex.com in collaboration with
Constant Contact