Euro Firm after ECB, Dollar Slightly Lower after Poor Jobless Claims
Action Insight Mid-Day Report 12-12-19

Euro Firm after ECB, Dollar Slightly Lower after Poor Jobless Claims

Both Euro and Swiss Franc are generally firm today after ECB and SNB rate decisions, as not much reactions are being triggered. Though, as for today, Australian Dollar is the strongest one so far. Sterling, on the other hand, pares back some of recent gains as traders lighten up position, awaiting UK election results. Dollar is a touch weaker after poor job data but loss is limited. US President Donald Trump is set to have a high-stake meeting with trade advisers to decide whether to go ahead with December 15 tranche of tariffs on China. The decision would likely sharp Dollar's next move.

Technically, EUR/USD and AUD/USD are on track to test recent resistance at 1.1179 and 0.6929 respectively. 1.3158 support in USD/CAD would be a level to watch to gauge further weakness in the greenback. As for Sterling, 1.3012 resistance turned support in GBP/USD, 141.50 resistance turned support in GBP/JPY, and 55 day EMA (0.8621) in EUR/GBP are the levels to watch. As long as these level holds, more upside would remain in favor in the Pound even in case of volatility.

In Europe, currently, FTSE is up 0.38%. DAX is down -0.13%. CAC is down -0.14%. German 10-year yield is up 0.014 at -0.306. Earlier in Asia, Nikkei rose 0.14%. Hong Kong HSI rose 1.31%. China Shanghai SSE dropped -0.30%. Singapore Strait Times rose 0.69%. Japan 10-year JGB yield dropped -0.014 to -0.017.

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EUR/USD Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.1084; (P) 1.1115; (R1) 1.1159; More...

Intraday bias in EUR/USD remains on the upside for the moment. Further rise should be seen to retest 1.1179 resistance first. Decisive break there will confirm resumption of whole rally from 1.0879. Next target will be 100% projection of 1.0879 to 1.1179 from 1.0981 at 1.1281. On the downside, below 1.1097 minor support will delay the bullish case and turn bias neutral first.

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EURUSD | USDJPY | GBPUSD | USDCHF | AUDUSD | USDCAD

EURJPY | EURGBP | EURCHF | EURAUD | GBPJPY

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Economic Calendar
GMT Ccy Events Actual Forecast Previous Revised
21:45 NZD Food Price Index M/M Nov -0.70% -0.30%
23:50 JPY Machinery Orders M/M Oct -6.00% 0.90% -2.90%
00:00 AUD Consumer Inflation Expectations Dec 4.00% 4.00%
00:01 GBP RICS Housing Price Balance Nov -12% -5% -5% -6%
00:30 AUD RBA Bulletin
06:45 CHF SECO Economic Forecasts
07:00 EUR Germany CPI M/M Nov F -0.80% -0.80% -0.80%
07:00 EUR Germany CPI Y/Y Nov F 1.10% 1.10% 1.10%
07:30 CHF Producer and Import Prices M/M Nov -0.40% 0.20% -0.20%
07:30 CHF Producer and Import Prices Y/Y Nov -2.50% -2.40%
08:30 CHF SNB Interest Rate Decision -0.75% -0.75% -0.75%
08:30 CHF SNB Press Conference
10:00 EUR Eurozone Industrial Production M/M Oct -0.50% -0.30% 0.10%
12:45 EUR ECB Interest Rate Decision 0.00% 0.00% 0.00%
13:30 EUR ECB Press Conference
13:30 USD PPI M/M Nov 0.00% 0.20% 0.40%
13:30 USD PPI Y/Y Nov 1.10% 1.20% 1.10%
13:30 USD PPI Core M/M Nov -0.20% 0.20% 0.30%
13:30 USD PPI Core Y/Y Nov 1.30% 1.60% 1.60%
13:30 USD Initial Jobless Claims (Dec 6) 252K 211K 203K
15:30 USD Natural Gas Storage -76B -19B