Dollar Rebounds on New York Fed President's Remarks, Euro and Sterling Soften after PMIs

Action Insight Daily Report 12-15-23

Dollar Rebounds on New York Fed President's Remarks, Euro and Sterling Soften after PMIs

Dollar is having a notable rebound in early US trading session, buoyed by comments from New York Fed President John Williams. Speaking on CNBC's "Squawk Box," Williams stated, "we aren't really talking about rate cuts right now," adding that it is "premature" to consider rate cuts as early as March. This assertion by a key Fed official appears to have provided a boost to the Dollar, which had been under pressure in recent times.

Williams further emphasized Fed's focus on determining if the current monetary policy is "sufficiently restrictive" to bring inflation back down to the 2% target. He also highlighted the unpredictable nature of economic data, suggesting Fed must be prepared to "tighten the policy further, if the progress of inflation were to stall or reverse."...

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EUR/USD Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.0905; (P) 1.0957; (R1) 1.1044; More...

EUR/USD failed to break through 1.1016 resistance and retreated notably in early US session. Intraday bias is turned neutral first. Some consolidations would be seen. But for now, outlook will stay cautiously bullish as long as 1.0722 support holds. On the upside, decisive break of 1.1016 will confirm resumption of whole rally from 1.0447. Further rise should then be seen to retest 1.1274 high.

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EURUSD | USDJPY | GBPUSD | USDCHF | AUDUSD | USDCAD

EURJPY | EURGBP | EURCHF | EURAUD | GBPJPY

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USDCHF Corrects Higher After 4-month Low

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Economic Calendar
GMT Ccy Events Actual Forecast Previous Revised
21:30 NZD Business NZ PMI Nov 46.7 42.5 42.9
22:00 AUD Manufacturing PMI Dec P 47.8 47.7
22:00 AUD Services PMI Dec P 47.6 46
00:01 GBP GfK Consumer Confidence Dec -22 -23 -24
00:30 JPY Manufacturing PMI Dec P 47.7 48.2 48.3
00:30 JPY Services PMI Dec P 52 50.8
02:00 CNY Industrial Production Y/Y Nov 6.60% 5.60% 4.60%
02:00 CNY Retail Sales Y/Y Nov 10.10% 12.50% 7.60%
02:00 CNY Fixed Asset Investment YTD Y/Y Nov 2.90% 3.00% 2.90%
04:30 JPY Tertiary Industry Index M/M Oct -0.80% 0.20% -1.00%
08:15 EUR France Manufacturing PMI Dec P 42 43.2 42.9
08:15 EUR France Services PMI Dec P 44.3 46 45.4
08:30 EUR Germany Manufacturing PMI Dec P 43.1 43.3 42.6
08:30 EUR Germany Services PMI Dec P 48.4 49.8 49.6
09:00 EUR Eurozone Manufacturing PMI Dec P 44.2 44.5 44.2
09:00 EUR Eurozone Services PMI Dec P 48.1 49 48.7
09:30 GBP Manufacturing PMI Dec P 46.4 47.5 47.2
09:30 GBP Services PMI Dec P 52.7 51 50.9
10:00 EUR Eurozone Trade Balance (EUR) Oct 10.9B 10.3B 9.2B 8.7B
13:15 CAD Housing Starts Y/Y Nov 213K 260.0K 274.7K 272K
13:30 CAD Wholesale Sales M/M Oct -0.50% 0.50% 0.40% -0.60%
13:30 USD Empire State Manufacturing Index Dec -14.5 2 9.1
14:15 USD Industrial Production M/M Nov 0.30% -0.60%
14:15 USD Capacity Utilization Nov 79.20% 78.90%
14:45 USD Manufacturing PMI Dec P 49.1 49.4
14:45 USD Services PMI Dec P 50.5 50.8