Dollar Gains Momentum after ISM Manufacturing, Euro Falters Amid French Political Crisis

Action Insight Mid-Day Report 12-2-24

Dollar Gains Momentum after ISM Manufacturing, Euro Falters Amid French Political Crisis

Dollar's rally extended its rally, bolstered by stronger-than-expected ISM manufacturing data. The notable jump in new orders and easing prices suggest an improving outlook for the US manufacturing sector. In the background, the greenback had a head start for the week after US President-elect Donald Trump adopted a firm stance on maintaining the Dollar’s dominance, demanding that BRICS nations abandon plans to develop a competing currency, or face 100% tariffs on non-compliant nations, marking a sharp pivot from his previous preference for a weaker Dollar.

Meanwhile, Euro faced additional pressure amid political turmoil in France, where Prime Minister Michel Barnier’s government is at risk of collapse. Reports suggest Barnier plans to invoke article 49.3 to bypass parliamentary approval on parts of the budget, potentially triggering a no-confidence vote. Opposition parties, including far-left groups and the far-right Rassemblement National, have signaled their intention to support the motion, raising the stakes for Barnier’s leadership.

Overall for the day so far, Dollar is currently the strongest one, but trailed closely by Yen, while Loonie is a distant third. Euro is the runaway loser, followed by Aussie and then Kiwi. Sterling and Swiss Franc are positioning in the middle, as both are supported somewhat by buying against Euro....

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Top Movers | HeatMap | Pivot Points | Pivot Meters | Action Bias | Vol

EUR/USD Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.0548; (P) 1.0572; (R1) 1.0603; More...

Intraday bias in EUR/USD stays neutral at this, despite today's dip. Outlook remains bearish with 1.0609 resistance intact. On the downside, break of 1.0330 will resume the fall from 1.1213. Also, sustained trading below 1.0404 key fibonacci level will carry larger bearish implication. Nevertheless, firm break of 1.0609 will confirm short term bottoming, and turn bias back to the upside for 1.0760 support turned resistance first.

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EURUSD | USDJPY | GBPUSD | USDCHF | AUDUSD | USDCAD

EURJPY | EURGBP | EURCHF | EURAUD | GBPJPY

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Economic Calendar
GMT Ccy Events Actual Forecast Previous Revised
21:45 NZD Building Permits M/M Oct -5.20% 2.60% 2.40%
23:50 JPY Capital Spending Y/Y Q3 8.10% 6.70% 7.40%
00:00 AUD TD-MI Inflation Gauge M/M Nov 0.20% 0.30%
00:30 AUD Retail Sales M/M Oct 0.60% 0.40% 0.10%
00:30 AUD Building Permits M/M Oct 4.20% 2.10% 4.40% 5.80%
00:30 AUD Company Operating Profits Q/Q Q3 -4.60% 0.80% -5.30% -6.80%
00:30 JPY Manufacturing PMI Nov F 49 49 49
01:45 CNY Caixin Manufacturing PMI Nov 51.5 50.5 50.3
07:30 CHF Real Retail Sales Y/Y Oct 1.40% 2.70% 2.20% 1.80%
08:30 CHF Manufacturing PMI Nov 48.5 49.5 49.9
08:50 EUR France Manufacturing PMI Nov 43.1 43.2 43.2
08:55 EUR Germany Manufacturing PMI Nov F 43 43.2 43.2
09:00 EUR Eurozone Manufacturing PMI Nov F 45.2 45.2 45.2
09:30 GBP Manufacturing PMI Nov 48 48.6 48.6
10:00 EUR Eurozone Unemployment Rate Oct 6.30% 6.30% 6.30%
14:30 CAD Manufacturing PMI Nov 52 50.8 51.1
14:45 USD Manufacturing PMI Nov F 49.7 48.8 48.8
15:00 USD ISM Manufacturing PMI Nov 48.4 47.5 46.5
15:00 USD ISM Manufacturing Prices Paid Nov 50.3 55.2 54.8
15:00 USD ISM Manufacturing Employment Index Nov 48.1 44.4
15:00 USD Construction Spending M/M Oct 0.40% 0.20% 0.10%
21:45 NZD Terms of Trade Index Q3 1.80% 2.00%