Sterling Skyrockets, Dollar Shrugs PCE Inflation
Action Insight Mid-Day Report 12-23-21

Sterling Skyrockets, Dollar Shrugs PCE Inflation

Sterling's rally picks up some strong momentum in pre-holiday trading. Meanwhile, overall steady to risk-on sentiment is also lifting Aussie and other commodity currencies. On the other hand, Euro is under tremendous pressure, thanks to selloff against the Pound. Dollar, Yen and Swiss Franc are also soft, with the greenback shrugging off strong PCE inflation data.

Technically, the rallies in both GBP/USD and GBP/JPY carry some significance. Firstly, GBP/USD's break of 1.3373 suggests that 1.3164 medium term fibonacci support was well defended. Similarly, GBP/JPY's break of 152.60 also argues that it has already defended 148.93 structural support and 55 week EMA. Both pairs could be setting up the stage for near term bullish trend reversal. But of course, we'll need to see if momentum could sustain after holidays.

In Europe, at the time of writing, FTSE is up 0.19%. DAX is up 0.62%. CAC is up 0.40%. Germany 10-year yield is up 0.0218 at -0.270. Earlier in Asia, Nikkei rose 0.83%. Hong Kong HSI rose 0.40%. China Shanghai SSE rose 0.57%. Singapore Strait Times rose 0.30%. Japan 10-year JGB yield rose 0.0033 to 0.067.

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GBP/USD Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.3276; (P) 1.3320; (R1) 1.3398; More...

GBP/USD's rebound from 1.3158 resumes today by breaking 1.3373 and hits as high as 1.3434 so far. Intraday bias is back on the upside. Sustained trading above 55 day EMA (now at 1.3423) will be an early sign of bullish reversal. That is, correction from 1.4248 might have completed with three waves down to 1.3158, after hitting 1.3164 medium term fibonacci level. Further rally would be seen to 1.3570 support turned resistance next. On the downside, break of 4 hour 55 EMA (now at 1.3283) will turn focus back to 1.3164 instead.

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EURUSD | USDJPY | GBPUSD | USDCHF | AUDUSD | USDCAD

EURJPY | EURGBP | EURCHF | EURAUD | GBPJPY

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Economic Calendar
GMT Ccy Events Actual Forecast Previous Revised
13:30 CAD GDP M/M Nov 0.80% 0.80% 0.10%
13:30 USD Initial Jobless Claims (Dec 17) 205K 205K 206K 205K
13:30 USD Personal Income M/MNov 0.40% 0.40% 0.50%
13:30 USD Personal Spending Nov 0.60% 0.60% 1.30%
13:30 USD PCE Price Index M/MNov 0.60% 0.60% 0.60% 0.70%
13:30 USD PCE Price Index Y/Y Nov 5.70% 5.60% 5.00% 5.10%
13:30 USD Core PCE Price Index M/MNov 0.50% 0.40% 0.40% 0.50%
13:30 USD Core PCE Price Index Y/Y Nov 4.70% 4.50% 4.10% 4.20%
13:30 USD Durable Goods Orders Nov 2.50% 1.50% -0.40%
13:30 USD Durable Goods Orders ex Transportation Nov 0.80% 0.60% 0.50%
15:00 USD New Home Sales Nov 0.767M 0.745M
15:00 USD Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index Dec F 70.4 70.4
15:30 USD Natural Gas Storage -54B -88B