Risk-on Sentiment Coming Back, Aussie Extending Rebound
Action Insight Mid-Day Report 12-7-21

Risk-on Sentiment Coming Back, Aussie Extending Rebound

Risk-on sentiment is gather steam today with major European indexes trading broadly higher, while US futures point to higher open. WTI crude oil is also up another 2.5% and is back above 70 handle. In the currency markets, Australian Dollar is leading the rebound in commodity currencies, with help from a slightly more upbeat RBA statement. European majors are the worst performers together with Yen, while Dollar is mixed.

Technically, focus is now on some European-commodity crosses with today's development. In particular, EUR/CAD is heading back to 1.4162 support after earlier rejection by 1.4580 support turned resistance. Break will resume larger down trend and target 100% projection of 1.5783 to 1.4580 from 1.5096 at 1.3893.

Also, GBP/CAD is diving back to 1.6716 support after rejection by 55 day EMA. Break will resume larger down trend for 100% projection of 1.7884 to 1.6849 from 1.7623 at 1.6588.

In Europe, at the time of writing, FTSE is up 1.19%. DAX is up 2.08%. CAC is up 2.34%. Germany 10-year yield is up 0.0219 at -0.365. Earlier in Asia, Nikkei rose 1.89%. Hong Kong HSI rose 2.72%. China Shanghai SSE rose 0.16%. Singapore Strait Times rose 0.59%. Japan 10-year JGB yield rose 0.139 to 0.055.

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AUD/USD Mid-Day Report

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.6962; (P) 0.7031; (R1) 0.7068; More...

AUD/USD's rebound from 0.6992 extends higher today but stays below 0.7172 resistance. Intraday bias is turned neutral first. On the upside, firm break of 0.7172 will indicate short term bottoming. Intraday bias will be turned back to the upside for 55 day EMA (now at 0.7281). On the downside, firm break of 0.6991 key structural support will carry larger bearish implication. Next target is 100% projection of 0.7890 to 0.7105 from 0.7555 at 0.6770.

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EURUSD | USDJPY | GBPUSD | USDCHF | AUDUSD | USDCAD

EURJPY | EURGBP | EURCHF | EURAUD | GBPJPY

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Economic Calendar
GMT Ccy Events Actual Forecast Previous Revised
21:30 AUD AiG Performance of Services Index Nov 49.6 47.6
23:30 JPY Labor Cash Earnings Y/Y Oct 0.20% 0.40% 0.20%
23:30 JPY Household Spending Y/Y Oct -0.60% -0.60% -1.90%
00:01 GBP BRC Like-For-Like Retail Sales Y/Y Nov 1.80% 0.30% -0.20%
00:30 AUD House Price Index Q/Q Q3 5.00% 5.10% 6.70%
02:00 CNY Trade Balance (USD) Nov 71.7B 82.2B 84.5B
02:00 CNY Exports Y/Y Nov 22.00% 17.20% 27.10%
02:00 CNY Imports Y/Y Nov 31.70% 19.50% 20.60%
02:00 CNY Trade Balance (CNY) Nov 461B 575B 546B
02:00 CNY Exports (CNY) Y/Y Nov 16.60% 17.20% 20.30%
02:00 CNY Imports (CNY) Y/Y Nov 26.00% 9.40% 14.50%
03:30 AUD RBA Interest Rate Decision 0.10% 0.10% 0.10%
05:00 JPY Leading Economic Index Oct P 102.1 100.2 100.9
06:45 CHF Unemployment Rate Nov 2.50% 2.60% 2.70%
07:00 EUR Germany Industrial Production M/M Oct 2.80% 0.80% -1.10%
07:45 EUR France Trade Balance (EUR) Oct -7.5B -6.2B -6.8B -6.9B
08:00 CHF Foreign Currency Reserves (CHF) Nov 1006B 923B
10:00 EUR Eurozone GDP Q/Q Q3 2.20% 2.20% 2.20%
10:00 EUR Eurozone Employment Change Q/Q Q3 F 0.90% 0.90% 0.90%
10:00 EUR Germany ZEW Economic Sentiment Dec 29.9 25.3 31.7
10:00 EUR Germany ZEW Current Situation Dec -7.4 5 12.5
10:00 EUR Eurozone ZEW Economic Sentiment Dec 26.8 23.5 25.9
13:30 USD Trade Balance (USD) Oct -67.1B -66.9B -80.9B -81.4B
13:30 USD Nonfarm Productivity Q3 -5.20% -4.90% -5.00%
13:30 USD Unit Labor Costs Q3 9.60% 8.40% 8.30%
13:30 CAD Trade Balance (CAD) Oct 2.1B 1.6B 1.9B 1.4B
15:00 CAD Ivey PMI Nov 60.2 59.3