Dollar and Yields Up, Stocks Down after Strong US CPI
Action Insight Mid-Day Report 2-10-22

Dollar and Yields Up, Stocks Down after Strong US CPI

Dollar rebounds broadly in early US session after stronger than expected CPI data. Treasury yields also surged with 10-year yield marching higher. 2% level for 10-year yield is getting closer. Stocks on the other hand, take some beating on concerns of a more aggressive Fed. For now, selloff is concentrating on Yen and Swiss Franc. But Europeans and commodity currencies are also weak.

Technically, a major focus is on whether USD/JPY would break through 116.34 high to resume the medium term up trend. At the same time, attention will also be on whether EUR/JPY and GBP/JPY are heading to 134.11 and 158.19 resistance levels respectively. Break of all these levels could add extra fuel to the rally in USD/JPY.

In Europe, at the time of writing, FTSE is up 0.06%. DAX is flat. CAC is down -0.45%. Germany 10-year yield is up 0.038 at 0.249. Earlier in Asia, Nikkei rose 0.42%. Hong Kong HSI rose 0.38%. China Shanghai SSE rose 0.17%. Singapore Strait Times rose 0.23%. Japan 10-year JGB yield closed up 0.0215 at 0.230.

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Top Movers | HeatMap | Pivot Points | Pivot Meters | Action Bias | Vol

USD/JPY Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 115.35; (P) 115.52; (R1) 115.71; More...

USD/JPY's rebound from 113.46 resumed by breaking 115.68 resistance. Intraday bias is back on the for 116.34 high. Firm break there will resume larger up trend from 102.58. Next target is 118.65 long term resistance. On the downside, though, break of 115.31 minor support will extend the corrective pattern from 116.34 with another falling leg, and turn bias back to the downside for 114.14 support and possibly below.

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EURUSD | USDJPY | GBPUSD | USDCHF | AUDUSD | USDCAD

EURJPY | EURGBP | EURCHF | EURAUD | GBPJPY

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Economic Calendar
GMT Ccy Events Actual Forecast Previous Revised
23:50 JPY PPI Y/Y Jan 8.60% 8.20% 8.50% 8.70%
00:00 AUD Consumer Inflation Expectations Feb 4.60% 4.40%
00:01 GBP RICS Housing Price Balance Jan 74% 72% 69%
13:30 USD Initial Jobless Claims (Feb 4) 223K 230K 238K 239K
13:30 USD CPI M/M Jan 0.60% 0.40% 0.50% 0.60%
13:30 USD CPI Y/Y Jan 7.50% 7.30% 7.00%
13:30 USD CPI Core M/M Jan 0.60% 0.50% 0.60%
13:30 USD CPI Core Y/Y Jan 6.00% 5.90% 5.50%