Gold Jumps on Ukraine Risks, Swiss Franc Firm and Euro Weak
Action Insight Mid-Day Report 2-15-22

Euro Rebounds, Sentiment Improved as Russia-Ukraine Tensions Ease

Overall market sentiment improved a lot after Russia said it pulled back some troops near the border of Ukraine. As worries of imminent war eased, Gold and oil price dip notably, while stocks rebound. Euro is staging a recovery, together with Aussie and Kiwi. On the other hand, Yen and Dollar are turning softer, together with Canadian. Sterling and Swiss Franc are mixed for the moment.

Technically, EUR/USD has somewhat defended 1.1265 minor support for now, maintaining mild near term bullish bias. There is prospect of extending the rebound to retest 1.1483 key near term resistance. Meanwhile, EUR/JPY could also be heading back to 133.13/133.44 resistance zone. But is should be noted level these levels would also be broken if the Russia/Ukraine situation is totally cleared.

In Europe, at the time of writing, FTSE is up 0.79%. DAX is up 1.61%. CAC is up 1.29%. Germany 10-year JGB yield is up 0.040 at 0.322. Earlier in Asia, Nikkei dropped -0.79%. Hong Kong HSI dropped -0.82%. China Shanghai SSE rose 0.50%. Singapore Strait Times rose 0.01%. Japan 10-year JGB yield dropped -0.0019 to 0.216.

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Top Movers | HeatMap | Pivot Points | Pivot Meters | Action Bias | Vol

EUR/USD Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.1269; (P) 1.1319; (R1) 1.1358; More...

EUR/USD recovered ahead of 1.1265 minor support. Intraday bias remains neutral and further rise is still mildly in favor. On the upside break of 1.1482 will target 38.2% retracement of 1.2348 to 1.1120 at 1.1589 next. Sustained break there will argue that whole fall from 1.2348 has completed too and target 61.8% retracement at 1.1879. On the downside, however, break of 1.1265 support will dampen this bullish view and bring retest of 1.1120 low instead.

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EURUSD | USDJPY | GBPUSD | USDCHF | AUDUSD | USDCAD

EURJPY | EURGBP | EURCHF | EURAUD | GBPJPY

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Economic Calendar
GMT Ccy Events Actual Forecast Previous Revised
23:50 JPY GDP Q/Q Q4 P 1.30% 1.40% -0.90%
23:50 JPY GDP Deflator Y/Y Q4 P -1.30% -1.20% -1.20%
00:30 AUD RBA Minutes
04:30 JPY Industrial Production M/M Dec F -1.00% -1.00% -1.00%
07:00 GBP Claimant Count Change Jan -31.9K -43.3K -51.6K
07:00 GBP ILO Unemployment Rate (3M) Dec 4.10% 4.10% 4.10%
07:00 GBP Average Earnings Excluding Bonus 3M/Y Dec 3.70% 3.60% 3.80%
07:00 GBP Average Earnings Including Bonus 3M/Y Dec 4.30% 3.90% 4.20%
10:00 EUR Eurozone Trade Balance (EUR) Dec -9.7B -2.5B -1.3B -1.8B
10:00 EUR Eurozone GDP Q/Q Q4 P 0.30% 0.30% 0.30%
10:00 EUR Eurozone Employment Change Q/Q Q4 P 0.50% 0.40% 0.90%
10:00 EUR Germany ZEW Economic Sentiment Feb 54.3 53.5 51.7
10:00 EUR Germany ZEW Current Situation Feb -8.1 -7 -10.2
10:00 EUR Eurozone ZEW Economic Sentiment Feb 48.6 52.3 49.4
13:15 CAD Housing Starts Jan 230.8K 270.0K 236.1K 238.4K
13:30 USD Empire State Manufacturing Index Feb 3.1 10 -0.7
13:30 USD PPI M/M Jan 1.00% 0.60% 0.20% 0.40%
13:30 USD PPI Y/Y Jan 9.70% 9.20% 9.70% 9.80%
13:30 USD PPI Core M/M Jan 0.80% 0.50% 0.50% 0.60%
13:30 USD PPI Core Y/Y Jan 8.30% 8.10% 8.30%