Canadian Dollar Popped Up by CPI, Sentiment Turns Cautious Again
Action Insight Mid-Day Report 2-16-22

Canadian Dollar Popped Up by CPI, Sentiment Turns Cautious Again

Overall market sentiment is slightly weaker entering into US session. While Russia showed videos of tanks leaving Crimea, NATO questioned de-escalation and said troop buildup was still going on. There is little reaction to much stronger than expected US retail sales. Nevertheless, Canadian Dollar is popped up by higher than expected, surging consumer inflation data. As for today, Canadian Dollar is the strongest one for now, followed by Aussie. Dollar is the weakest, followed by Euro and Sterling. Swiss Franc is quietly firming up slightly while Yen is mixed. Focus will turn to FOMC minutes, but eyes will still be on the Russia-Ukraine developments.

Technically, attention will be on Swiss Franc pairs to gauge if nervousness on war is back. In particular, Break of 1.2465 support in GBP/CHF will at least indicate that rise from 1.2276 has completed at 1.2598. Deeper fall would be seen back to this support level. That would also retain near term bearishness for resuming larger down trend from 1.3070 through 1.2134 low at a later stage.

In Europe, at the time of writing, FTSE is down -0.41%. DAX is down -0.16%. CAC is down -0.25%. Germany 10-year yield is down -0.051 at 0.262. Earlier in Asia, Nikkei rose 2.22%. Hong Kong HSI rose 1.49%. China Shanghai SSE rose 0.57%. Singapore Strait Times rose 0.52%. Japan 10-year JGB yield rose 0.0049 to 0.221.

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Top Movers | HeatMap | Pivot Points | Pivot Meters | Action Bias | Vol

USD/CAD Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.2687; (P) 1.2730; (R1) 1.2760; More...

USD/CAD dips mildly today but stays in range of 1.2634/2795 and intraday bias remains neutral. Further rally is mildly in favor with 1.2634 support intact. On the upside, break of 1.2795 will resume the rally from 1.2448 to 1.2963 resistance next. However, break of 1.2634 support will turn bias back to the downside for 1.2448 support instead.

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EURUSD | USDJPY | GBPUSD | USDCHF | AUDUSD | USDCAD

EURJPY | EURGBP | EURCHF | EURAUD | GBPJPY

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Economic Calendar
GMT Ccy Events Actual Forecast Previous Revised
23:30 AUD Westpac Leading Index M/M Jan 0.10% 0.00%
01:30 CNY CPI Y/Y Jan 0.90% 1.00% 1.50%
01:30 CNY PPI Y/Y Jan 9.10% 9.40% 10.30%
04:30 JPY Tertiary Industry Index M/M Dec 0.40% 0.50% 0.40%
07:00 GBP CPI Y/Y Jan 5.50% 5.50% 5.40%
07:00 GBP Core CPI Y/Y Jan 4.40% 4.30% 4.20%
07:00 GBP RPI Y/Y Jan 7.80% 7.50% 7.50%
07:00 GBP PPI Input M/M Jan 0.90% 0.70% -0.20% 0.10%
07:00 GBP PPI Input Y/Y Jan 13.60% 14.20% 13.50% 13.80%
07:00 GBP PPI Output M/M Jan 1.20% 0.60% 0.30%
07:00 GBP PPI Output Y/Y Jan 9.90% 9.40% 9.30%
07:00 GBP PPI Core Output M/M Jan 1.10% 0.70% 0.50% 0.60%
07:00 GBP PPI Core Output Y/Y Jan 9.30% 9.00% 8.70% 8.60%
10:00 EUR Eurozone Industrial Production M/M Dec 1.20% 0.30% 2.30% 2.40%
13:30 CAD Manufacturing Sales M/M Dec 0.70% 0.00% 2.60% 3.40%
13:30 CAD Wholesale Sales M/M Dec 0.60% 2.70% 3.50%
13:30 CAD CPI Y/Y Jan 5.10% 4.80% 4.80%
13:30 CAD CPI Common Y/Y Jan 2.30% 2.10% 2.10%
13:30 CAD CPI Median Y/Y Jan 3.30% 3.10% 3.00% 3.10%
13:30 CAD CPI Trimmed Y/Y Jan 4.00% 3.70% 3.70% 3.80%
13:30 USD Retail Sales M/M Jan 3.80% 1.80% -1.90% -2.50%
13:30 USD Retail Sales ex Autos M/M Jan 3.30% 1.00% -2.30% -2.80%
13:30 USD Import Price Index M/M Jan 2.00% 1.30% -0.20% -0.40%
14:15 USD Industrial Production M/M Jan 1.40% 0.50% -0.10%
14:15 USD Capacity Utilization Jan 77.60% 76.70% 76.50%
15:00 USD Business Inventories Dec 2.10% 1.30%
15:00 USD NAHB Housing Market Index Feb 83 83
15:30 USD Crude Oil Inventories -2.2M -4.8M
19:00 USD FOMC Minutes