Euro Briefly Dips on Soft PMI, CAD Shrugs Off Robust Retail Sales

Action Insight Mid-Day Report 2-21-25

Euro Briefly Dips on Soft PMI, CAD Shrugs Off Robust Retail Sales

Trading is rather subdued in the forex markets today, with most major pairs and crosses stuck within yesterday’s range. Loonie failed to react to significantly stronger-than-expected retail sales data. Euro dipped earlier following weak PMI reports, but selling pressure quickly fizzled out. Yen saw some volatility during the Asian session, initially weakening alongside Japanese bond yields after BoJ Governor Kazuo Ueda’s comments, but selling was short-lived.

For the week so far, Yen remains the strongest performer, although it could now pause for consolidation after its recent rally. Sterling pound ranks second, followed by Aussie. On the weaker side, Euro has slipped to the bottom, just below Loonie and Dollar. However, the gap between the three remains tight, leaving room for shifts before the weekly close. Meanwhile, Swiss Franc and Kiwi are positioning in the middle....

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Top Movers | HeatMap | Pivot Points | Pivot Meters | Action Bias | Vol

EUR/USD Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.0446; (P) 1.0475; (R1) 1.0532; More...

Outlook in EUR/USD remains unchanged despite today's mild dip. Consolidation from 1.0176 is still extending and intraday bias remains neutral. Stronger rebound might be seen but outlook will remain bearish as long as 38.2% retracement of 1.1213 to 1.0176 at 1.0572 holds. On the downside, break of 1.0176 will resume whole fall from 1.1213. However, decisive break of 1.0572 will raise the chance of reversal, and target 61.8% retracement at 1.0817.

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EURUSD | USDJPY | GBPUSD | USDCHF | AUDUSD | USDCAD

EURJPY | EURGBP | EURCHF | EURAUD | GBPJPY

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Economic Calendar
GMT Ccy Events Actual Forecast Previous Revised
21:45 NZD Trade Balance (NZD) Jan -486M 225M 219M 94M
22:00 AUD Manufacturing PMI Feb P 50.6 50.2
22:00 AUD Services PMI Feb P 51.4 51.2
23:50 JPY CPI Y/Y Jan 4.00% 3.60%
23:50 JPY CPI Core Y/Y Jan 3.20% 3.10% 3.00%
23:50 JPY CPI Core-Core Y/Y Jan 2.50% 2.40%
00:01 GBP GfK Consumer Confidence Feb -20 -22 -22
00:30 JPY Manufacturing PMI Feb P 48.9 49 48.7
00:30 JPY Services PMI Feb P 53.1 53
07:00 GBP Retail Sales M/M Jan 1.70% 0.30% -0.30% -0.60%
07:00 GBP Public Sector Net Borrowing (GBP) Jan -15.4B -20.5B 17.8B 18.1B
08:15 EUR France Manufacturing PMI Feb P 45.5 45.3 45
08:15 EUR France Services PMI Feb P 44.5 49 48.2
08:30 EUR Germany Manufacturing PMI Feb P 46.1 45.6 45
08:30 EUR Germany Services PMI Feb P 52.2 52.6 52.5
09:00 EUR Eurozone Manufacturing PMI Feb P 47.3 47.1 46.6
09:00 EUR Eurozone Services PMI Feb P 50.7 51.5 51.3
09:30 GBP Manufacturing PMI Feb P 46.4 48.5 48.3
09:30 GBP Services PMI Feb P 51.1 51 50.8
13:30 CAD Retail Sales M/M Dec 2.50% 1.60% 0% 0.20%
13:30 CAD Retail Sales ex Autos M/M Dec 2.70% 0.40% -0.70%
14:45 USD Manufacturing PMI Feb P 51.3 51.2
14:45 USD Services PMI Feb P 53 52.9
15:00 USD Existing Home Sales M/M Jan 4.17M 4.24M
15:00 USD Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index Jan F 67.8 67.8