Japan's Stock Market Breaks Through the "Iron Coffin Lid", Yen Broadly Lower

Action Insight Daily Report 2-22-24

Japan's Stock Market Breaks Through the "Iron Coffin Lid", Yen Broadly Lower

Japanese Yen had a broad-based declined in Asian session today, while Nikkei extended its recent up trend, momentarily reaching a new record high, ending the 34-year wait. This milestone is of considerable psychological significance for Japan, symbolizing the end of over three decades of economic stagnation ensued after the burst of the country's stock and property bubble. The term "iron coffin lid" has often been used to describe the elusive barrier that is unreachable, making today's breakthrough a momentous occasion for Japanese investors and the broader economy.

Despite recent weak PMI data and anticipation of BoJ rate hike later in the year, Japanese investors appear undeterred. BoJ Governor Kazuo Ueda continued his actively communicating with the markets, noting today that trend inflation is "heightening" and that service prices continue to "rise moderately", reassuring investors of the central bank's commitment to making "appropriate monetary policy decisions."

The latest Reuters poll indicates that 83% of economists expect BoJ to end its negative interest rate policy in April, with 76% predicting the abandonment of yield curve control at the same meeting.

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GBP/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 189.42; (P) 189.68; (R1) 190.21; More...

GBP/JPY's up trend is trying to resume by breaking through 190.05. Intraday bias is back on the upside for 61.8% projection of 178.71 to 188.90 from 185.21 at 191.50. On the downside, below 189.05 minor support will turn intraday bias neutral and bring consolidations again, before staging another rally.

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EURJPY | EURGBP | EURCHF | EURAUD | GBPJPY

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Economic Calendar
GMT Ccy Events Actual Forecast Previous Revised
21:45 NZD Trade Balance (NZD) Jan -976M -200M -323M -368M
22:00 AUD Manufacturing PMI Feb P 47.7 50.1
22:00 AUD Services PMI Feb P 52.8 49.1
00:30 JPY Manufacturing PMI Feb P 47.2 48.2 48
00:30 JPY Services PMI Feb P 52.5 53.1
08:15 EUR France Manufacturing PMI Feb P 44 43.1
08:15 EUR France Services PMI Feb P 45.6 45.4
08:30 EUR Germany Manufacturing PMI Feb P 46.1 45.5
08:30 EUR Germany Services PMI Feb P 48 47.7
09:00 EUR Eurozone Manufacturing PMI Feb P 47.1 46.6
09:00 EUR Eurozone Services PMI Feb P 48.7 48.4
09:30 GBP Manufacturing PMI Feb P 47.1 47
09:30 GBP Services PMI Feb P 54.4 54.3
10:00 EUR Eurozone CPI Y/Y Jan F 2.80% 2.80%
10:00 EUR Eurozone CPI Core Y/Y Jan F 3.30% 3.30%
12:30 EUR ECB Meeting Accounts
13:30 CAD Retail Sales M/M Dec 0.80% -0.20%
13:30 CAD Retail Sales ex Autos M/M Dec 0.70% -0.50%
13:30 USD Initial Jobless Claims (Feb 16) 217K 212K
14:45 USD Manufacturing PMI Feb P 50.2 50.7
14:45 USD Services PMI Feb P 52 52.5
15:00 USD Existing Home Sales Jan 3.95M 3.78M
15:30 USD Natural Gas Storage -59B -49B
16:00 USD Crude Oil Inventories 3.9M 12.0M