Dollar Fights Back on Strong NFP and Wage Growth
Action Insight Mid-Day Report 2-4-22

Dollar Fights Back on Strong NFP and Wage Growth

Dollar is rebounding strongly in early US session following much better than expected job and wage growth. The greenback is apparently turning the tide against all major currencies, except Euro. The common currency is still the runaway winner for the week, as boosted by surprised hawkish turn in ECB. In other markets, DOW futures took a deep dive after the release on concern of aggressive Fed tightening. 10-year yield looks set to break through 1.9 handle.

Technically, we'll pay attention to whether Gold would finally break through 1794.31 with conviction this time, after a false break earlier in the week. If happens, that would help solidify the case for a Dollar comeback. Gold should then dive through 1780.01 to resume the fall from 1853.70 to 1752.32 support next.

In Europe, at the time of writing, FTSE is down -0.10%. DAX is down -1.66%. CAC is down -0.92%. Germany 10-year yield is up 0.0540 at 0.199, pressing 0.2 handle. Earlier in Asia, Nikkei rose 0.73%. Hong Kong HSI rose 3.24%. Singapore Strait Times dropped -0.24%. China was still on holiday. Japan 10-year JGB yield rose 0.212 to 0.201, regained 0.2 handle.

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Top Movers | HeatMap | Pivot Points | Pivot Meters | Action Bias | Vol

GBP/USD Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.3549; (P) 1.3589; (R1) 1.3639; More...

GBP/USD's sharp fall and break of 1.3515 minor support suggests that rebound from 1.3356 has completed at 1.3627 already. Intraday bias is back on the downside for 1.3356 support first. Break will resume the decline from 1.3748 to retest 1.3158 low. On the upside, however, above 1.3627 will resume the rebound for 1.3748 resistance instead.

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EURUSD | USDJPY | GBPUSD | USDCHF | AUDUSD | USDCAD

EURJPY | EURGBP | EURCHF | EURAUD | GBPJPY

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Economic Calendar
GMT Ccy Events Actual Forecast Previous Revised
21:45 NZD Building Permits M/M Dec 0.60% 0.60%
00:30 AUD RBA Monetary Policy Statement
07:00 EUR Germany Factory Orders M/M Dec 2.80% 0.50% 3.70%
07:45 EUR France Industrial Output M/M Dec -0.20% 0.50% -0.40%
09:30 GBP Construction PMI Jan 56.3 54.3 54.3
10:00 EUR Eurozone Retail Sales M/M Dec -3.00% -0.50% 1.00%
13:30 USD Nonfarm Payrolls Jan 467K 150K 199K 510K
13:30 USD Unemployment Rate Jan 4.00% 3.90% 3.90%
13:30 USD Average Hourly Earnings M/M Jan 0.70% 0.50% 0.60% 0.50%
13:30 CAD Net Change in Employment Jan -200.1K -121.5K 54.7K
13:30 CAD Unemployment Rate Jan 6.50% 6.00% 5.90%
15:00 CAD Ivey PMI Jan 55.1 45