The British Pound weakened significantly after BoE delivered a 25bps rate cut. The policy decision was more dovish than anticipated, primarily due to the unexpected shift in the MPC voting split. Catherine Mann, previously one of the most hawkish members of the committee, reversed course and joined Swati Dhingra in voting for a more aggressive 50bps cut. Adding to the bearish sentiment on Sterling, BoE’s updated economic projections painted a complicated macroeconomic outlook. The central bank sharply downgraded its 2025 GDP growth forecast. At the same time, inflation forecasts were revised higher. Facing the increased uncertainty, BoE emphasized its commitment to a "gradual and careful" approach to policy easing. Overall with today's announcement, risk is clearly tilted toward a more dovish policy stance. The base case remains as one 25bps cut per quarter throughout 2025,. But today’s decision raises the probability of a faster easing cycle, in particular if growth conditions worsen further.... |