Euro Rebound Stalls after ECB, Dollar Higher after CPI
Action Insight Mid-Day Report 3-10-22

Euro Rebound Stalls after ECB, Dollar Higher after CPI

Euro's rebound stalls after ECB policy announcement, mainly because risk markets turned softer again. Another round of negotiations between Russia and Ukraine failed and Russia will clearly continue its attack. Dollar is trading slightly higher after CPI came in expected, extending its run on making multi-decade high. Though, as for the day, Aussie is leading commodity currencies higher, Swiss Franc and Yen are weak.

Technically, we'll keep focusing on USD/JPY as it should be ready to break through 116.34 to resume the larger up trend to 118.65 resistance. Also, focus will be on whether EUR/USD would be firmly rejected by 1.1120 resistance, to retain its near term bearishness.

In Europe, at the time of writing, FTSE is down -1.37%. DAX is down -2.92%. CAC is down -2.68%. Germany 10-year yield is up 0.057 at 0.275. Earlier in Asia, Nikkei rose 3.94%. Hong Kong HSI rose 1.27%. China Shanghai SSE rose 1.22%. Singapore Strait Times rose 1.42%. Japan 10-year JGB yield closed flat at 0.192.

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Top Movers | HeatMap | Pivot Points | Pivot Meters | Action Bias | Vol

EUR/USD Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.0944; (P) 1.1019; (R1) 1.1149; More...

Intraday bias in EUR/USD remains neutral at this point. As long as 1.1120 support turned resistance holds, larger down trend from 1.1494 is still expected to continue. On the downside, firm break of 61.8% projection of 1.2265 to 1.1120 from 1.1494 at 1.0786 will pave they way to 100% projection at 1.0349 next. However, strong break of 1.1120 will confirm short term bottoming, at least, and bring stronger rebound back towards 1.1494 structural resistance instead.

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EURUSD | USDJPY | GBPUSD | USDCHF | AUDUSD | USDCAD

EURJPY | EURGBP | EURCHF | EURAUD | GBPJPY

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Economic Calendar
GMT Ccy Events Actual Forecast Previous Revised
23:50 JPY PPI Y/Y Feb 9.30% 8.70% 8.60% 8.90%
00:00 AUD Consumer Inflation Expectations Mar 4.90% 4.60%
00:01 GBP RICS Housing Price Balance Feb 79% 73% 74%
12:45 EUR ECB Interest Rate Decision 0.00% 0.00% 0.00%
13:30 EUR ECB Press Conference
13:30 USD Initial Jobless Claims (Mar 4) 227K 205K 215K 216K
13:30 USD CPI M/M Feb 0.80% 0.80% 0.60%
13:30 USD CPI Y/Y Feb 7.90% 7.90% 7.50%
13:30 USD CPI Core M/M Feb 0.50% 0.50% 0.60%
13:30 USD CPI Core Y/Y Feb 6.40% 6.40% 6.00%
15:30 USD Natural Gas Storage -116B -139B