Swiss Franc Weakens While Euro and Sterling Firm, No More Safe Haven?

Action Insight Daily Report 3-20-23

Swiss Franc Weakens While Euro and Sterling Firm, No More Safe Haven?

Market reactions to the ongoing banking crisis reveal a shift away from Swiss Franc, traditionally considered a safe-haven currency, as Credit Suisse shares lose over two-thirds of their value following the acquisition announcement by UBS. The broader markets in Europe are, however, relatively steady. Euro and Sterling are experiencing notable increases today, with the Yen emerging even stronger. Dollar faces pressure in general but fares slightly better than commodity currencies. Today's market response suggests that the banking crisis is far from over, and further volatility is expected in the days ahead.

Technically, 1.0759 resistance in EUR/USD is quickly within radar with today's rise. Firm break there will indicate completion of whole corrective fall from 1.1032, and bring stronger rally back to retest this high. At the same time, GBP/USD is already taking the lead by breaking through last week's high and it's on track to retest 1.2445/6 resistance zone.

In Europe, at the time of writing, FTSE is up 0.37%. DAX is up 0.50%. CAC is up 0.76%. Germany 10-year yield is down -0.011 at 2.099. Earlier in Asia, Nikkei dropped -1.42%. Hong Kong HSI dropped -2.65%. China Shanghai SSE dropped -0.48%. Singapore Strait Times dropped -1.37%. Japan 10-year JGB yield fell -0.0262 to 0.247.

Full Report Here

Top Movers | HeatMap | Pivot Points | Pivot Meters | Action Bias | Vol

EUR/CHF Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9843; (P) 0.9877; (R1) 0.9915; More...

EUR/CHF's rise from 0.9704 accelerations higher today and the development argues that decline form 1.0095 has completed as a correction, with three waves down to 0.9704. Intraday bias is back on the upside for 1.0040 resistance first. Firm break there would argue that larger rise from 0.9407 is resuming through 1.0095. On the downside, though, break of 0.9837 minor support will turn intraday bias neutral first.

Full Report Here

EURUSD | USDJPY | GBPUSD | USDCHF | AUDUSD | USDCAD

EURJPY | EURGBP | EURCHF | EURAUD | GBPJPY

Recommended Readings

Swiss Franc in Calm Waters, But Is There a Storm Ahead?

USD/JPY: Japanese Yen Rises to a Multi-Week High vs Dollar on Growing Safe-Haven Demand

XAU/USD: Gold Likely to Probe Again Above $2000 Barrier

EURCHF Wave Analysis

EURNZD Wave Analysis

Bitcoin in All its Glory. Where's the Stop?

Euro Edges Lower, ECB and Other Central Banks Take Joint Action

EUR/USD Recovery Loses Traction on Growing Fears about Crisis in Banking Sector

Gold Jumps Above Crucial $2,000 Mark

EURUSD Holds Above Long-term Support Trendline; Neutral in Short-term

Gold Price is Now Consolidating Gains from $1,990

Fundamental Analysis | Technical Analysis
In-depth Reports
alt
March Flashlight for the FOMC Blackout Period: The Flashlight Needs Fresh Batteries
alt
ECB Review: 50bp Hike, But No Guidance for May
alt
European Central Bank Delivers, Again
alt
Eurozone Banking Sector Solid, But Softening
Economic Calendar
GMT Ccy Events Actual Forecast Previous Revised
23:50 JPY BoJ Summary of Opinions
00:01 GBP Rightmove House Price Index M/M Mar 0.80% 0.00%
07:00 EUR Germany PPI M/M Feb -0.30% -1.20% -1.00% -1.20%
07:00 EUR Germany PPI Y/Y Feb 15.80% 12.40% 17.80% 17.60%
10:00 EUR Eurozone Trade Balance (EUR) Jan -11.3B -17.3B -18.1B -13.4B
11:00 EUR German Buba Monthly Report