Swiss Franc Tumbles on SNB Cut; Sterling Falters as Hawks Retreat

Action Insight Mid-Day Report 3-21-24

Swiss Franc Tumbles on SNB Cut; Sterling Falters as Hawks Retreat

Swiss Franc is trading as the day's most significant loser in the wake of SNB's surprising decision to cut interest rates. This move, along with a substantial downward revision of inflation forecasts, is seen by some economists as a strategic effort by SNB to alleviate the burden of a high exchange rate on Switzerland's export-driven economy. Speculation is rife among economists about the possibility of another rate reduction in June, particularly if ECB commences its policy easing by then.

British Pound also faced downward pressure as the second worst performer, following BoE decision to maintain its interest rate unchanged. Notably, two previously hawkish members abandoned their stance on calling for a hike. Yet BoE provided no definitive guidance on rate reductions. Despite some progress in reducing inflation, service sector prices continue to be a concern, remaining stubbornly high...

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Top Movers | HeatMap | Pivot Points | Pivot Meters | Action Bias | Vol

USD/CHF Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.8846; (P) 0.8882; (R1) 0.8905; More....

USD/CHF's rally resumed after drawing support from 55 4H EMA, and breaks through 0.8917. Intraday bias is back on the upside. Next target is 100% projection projection of 0.8550 to 0.8884 from 0.8728 at 0.9062. On the downside, below 0.88338 minor support will turn intraday bias neutral again. But still, outlook will remain bullish as long as 0.8728 support holds.

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EURUSD | USDJPY | GBPUSD | USDCHF | AUDUSD | USDCAD

EURJPY | EURGBP | EURCHF | EURAUD | GBPJPY

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Economic Calendar
GMT Ccy Events Actual Forecast Previous Revised
21:45 NZD GDP Q/Q Q4 -0.10% 0.00% -0.30%
22:00 AUD Manufacturing PMI Mar P 46.8 47.8
22:00 AUD Services PMI Mar P 53.5 53.1
23:50 JPY Trade Balance (JPY) Feb -0.45T -0.85T 0.24T 0.01T
00:30 JPY Manufacturing PMI Mar P 48.2 47.5 47.2
00:30 AUD Employment Change Feb 116.5K 40.2K 0.5K 15.3K
00:30 AUD Unemployment Rate Feb 3.70% 4.00% 4.10%
07:00 GBP Public Sector Net Borrowing (GBP) Feb 7.5B 5.2B -17.6B -17.0B
08:15 EUR France Manufacturing PMI Mar P 45.8 47.3 47.1
08:15 EUR France Services PMI Mar P 47.8 48.6 48.4
08:30 EUR Germany Manufacturing PMI Mar P 41.6 43.5 42.5
08:30 EUR Germany Services PMI Mar P 49.8 48.9 48.3
08:30 CHF SNB Interest Rate Decision 1.50% 1.75% 1.75%
09:00 CHF SNB Press Conference
09:00 EUR ECB Economic Bulletin
09:00 EUR Eurozone Current Account (EUR) Jan 39.4B 32.3B 31.9B
09:00 EUR Eurozone Manufacturing PMI Mar P 45.7 47 46.5
09:00 EUR Eurozone Services PMI Mar P 51.1 50.5 50.2
09:30 GBP Manufacturing PMI Mar P 49.9 47.8 47.5
09:30 GBP Services PMI Mar P 53.4 53.8 53.8
12:00 GBP BoE Interest Rate Decision 5.25% 5.25% 5.25%
12:00 GBP MPC Official Bank Rate Votes 0--1--8 0--1--8 2--1--6
12:30 CAD New Housing Price Index M/M Feb 0.10% 0.10% -0.10%
12:30 USD Initial Jobless Claims (Mar 15) 210K 210K 209K
12:30 USD Philadelphia Fed Manufacturing Survey Mar 3.2 0.2 5.2
12:30 USD Current Account (USD) Q4 -195B -209B -200B
13:45 USD Manufacturing PMI Mar P 51.9 52.2
13:45 USD Services PMI Mar P 52 52.3
14:00 USD Existing Home Sales Feb 3.94M 4.00M
14:30 USD EIA Natural Gas Storage Change (Mar 15) 5B -9B