Euro Weakens after Poor Germany Business Climate, Yen Struggles to Recover
Action Insight Mid-Day Report 3-25-22

Euro Weakens after Poor Germany Business Climate, Yen Struggles to Recover

Euro turns slightly softer after poor German business climate reading, in particular against Swiss Franc, Aussie and Loonie. Dollar is also weak except versus Yen. Yen is trying to recover but there is no clear follow through buying. It's the the runaway loser of the week. Overall, Aussie is set to end as the week as the best performer.

Technical, 1.0815 support in EUR/CHF is worth a watch early next week. Firm break there should confirm completion of the rebound from 0.9970, and retest of this low should be seen next. The development could be accompanied by downside breakout in both EUR/CAD and EUR/AUD for down trend resumption too.

In Europe, at the time of writing, FTSE is up 0.15%. DAX is up 0.87%. CAC is up 0.68%. Germany 10-year yield is up 0.0268 at 0.561. Earlier in Asia, Nikkei rose 0.14%. Hong Kong HSI dropped -2.47%. China Shanghai SSE dropped -1.17%. Singapore Strait Times rose 0.41%. Japan 10-year JGB yield closed flat at 0.240.

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Top Movers | HeatMap | Pivot Points | Pivot Meters | Action Bias | Vol

USD/JPY Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 121.41; (P) 121.91; (R1) 122.86; More...

USD/JPY is losing some upside momentum as seen in 4 hour MACD. But with 120.58 minor support intact, intraday bias stays on the upside. Sustained trading above 100% projection of 109.11 to 116.34 from 114.40 at 121.63, will pave the way to 125.85 long term resistance. On the downside, however, below 120.58 minor support will turn intraday bias neutral and bring consolidations first, before staging another rally.

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EURUSD | USDJPY | GBPUSD | USDCHF | AUDUSD | USDCAD

EURJPY | EURGBP | EURCHF | EURAUD | GBPJPY

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Economic Calendar
GMT Ccy Events Actual Forecast Previous Revised
23:30 JPY Tokyo CPI Core Y/Y Mar 0.80% 0.70% 0.50%
23:30 JPY Corporate Service Price Index Y/Y Feb 1.10% 1.20% 1.20%
00:01 GBP GfK Consumer Confidence Mar -31 -30 -26
07:00 GBP Retail Sales M/M Feb -0.30% 1.00% 1.90%
05:30 GBP Retail Sales Y/Y Feb 7.00% 7.80% 9.10% 9.40%
07:00 GBP Retail Sales ex-Fuel M/M Feb -0.70% 0.50% 1.70%
05:30 GBP Retail Sales ex-Fuel Y/Y Feb 4.60% 5.00% 7.20% 7.50%
09:00 EUR Germany IFO Business Climate Mar 90.8 94.5 98.9 98.5
09:00 EUR Germany IFO Current Assessment Mar 97 97.4 98.6
09:00 EUR Germany IFO Expectations Mar 85.1 97.2 99.2 98.4
09:00 EUR Eurozone M3 Money Supply Y/Y Feb 6.30% 6.30% 6.40%
14:00 USD Pending Home Sales M/M Feb 1.40% -5.70%
14:00 USD Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index Mar F 59.7 59.7