No Recovery in Euro Yet as Sentiment Stabilize, Swiss Franc Firm
Action Insight Mid-Day Report 3-3-22

No Recovery in Euro Yet as Sentiment Stabilize, Swiss Franc Firm

Overall, market sentiment is rather stable today, with major European indexes just slightly lower, while US futures point to recovery. Benchmark treasury yields are also ticking slightly higher. WTI crude oil is retreating slightly after breaking 115 handle. Gold is gyrating in tight range above 1900. In the currency markets, Euro remains the weakest one for today, followed by Sterling. Yen also softens on recovery yields. Aussie, Swiss Franc and Dollar are the stronger ones.

Technically, CHF/JPY is breaking out from near term range, resuming the rebound from 124.53. Further rise is mildly in favor to retest 127.05 high. With solid support from 55 day EMA too, the larger up trend could be ready to resume through 127.05. Swiss Franc might have an upper hand in safe haven flows, with help from Euro selloff.

In Europe, at the time of writing, FTSE is down -0.88%. DAX is down -0.57%. CAC is up 0.05%. Germany 10-year yield is up 0.037 at 0.066. Earlier in Asia, Nikkei rose 0.70%. Hong Kong HSI rose 0.55%. China Shanghai SSE dropped -0.09%. Singapore Strait Times rose 0.29%. Japan 10-year JGB yield rose 0.352 to 0.169.

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Top Movers | HeatMap | Pivot Points | Pivot Meters | Action Bias | Vol

EUR/USD Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.1074; (P) 1.1109; (R1) 1.1159; More...

Intraday bias in EUR/USD remains on the downside for the moment. Current fall is part of the down trend from 1.2348. Next target is 61.8% projection of 1.2265 to 1.1120 from 1.1494 at 1.0786. On the upside, break of 1.1273 resistance is needed to be the first sign of bottoming. Otherwise, outlook stays bearish in case of recovery.

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EURUSD | USDJPY | GBPUSD | USDCHF | AUDUSD | USDCAD

EURJPY | EURGBP | EURCHF | EURAUD | GBPJPY

Recommended Readings

USD/JPY Eyes Higher as US Yields Find Support: Elliott Wave Analysis

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Australian Dollar Shrugs after Strong Data

EUR/USD Outlook: Bears Tighten Grip and Resume after a Brief Pause

WTI Oil Outlook: Prices at the Highest Levels Since 2008, Psychological $120 Barrier Comes in Focus

EURJPY's Bearish Bias Unruffled by Recent Bounce

Two Trades to Watch: EUR/GBP, Gold

Dollar Held Recent Gains, But For Now With No Further Extension

AUDUSD Completes Double Bottom Formation; 200-SMA Next in Focus

WTI Futures Fly Sharply above 115.00; Which Level is Next?

 

 

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GMT Ccy Events Actual Forecast Previous Revised
21:30 AUD AiG Performance of Construction Index Feb 53.4 45.9
00:30 AUD Building Permits M/M Jan -27.90% -3.00% 8.20% 9.80%
00:30 AUD Trade Balance (AUD) Jan 12.89B 9.10B 8.36B 8.82B
01:45 CNY Caixin Services PMI Feb 50.2 50.9 51.4
05:00 JPY Consumer Confidence Index Feb 35.3 35 36.7
07:30 CHF CPI M/M Feb 0.70% 0.30% 0.20%
07:30 CHF CPI Y/Y Feb 2.20% 1.80% 1.60%
08:45 EUR Italy Services PMI Feb 52.8 48.9 48.5
08:50 EUR France Services PMI Feb F 55.5 57.9 57.9
08:55 EUR Germany Services PMI Feb F 55.8 56.6 56.6
09:00 EUR Eurozone Services PMI Feb F 55.5 55.8 55.8
09:00 EUR Italy Unemployment Jan 8.80% 9.10% 9.00%
09:30 GBP Services PMI Feb F 60.5 60.8 60.8
10:00 EUR Eurozone Unemployment Rate Jan 6.80% 6.90% 7.00%
10:00 EUR Eurozone PPI M/M Jan 5.20% 3.00% 2.90% 3.00%
10:00 EUR Eurozone PPI Y/Y Jan 30.60% 26.90% 26.20% 26.30%
12:30 EUR ECB Monetary Policy Meeting Accounts
12:30 USD Challenger Job Cuts Y/Y Feb -55.90% -76.00%
13:30 USD Initial Jobless Claims (Feb 25) 215K 235K 232K 233K
13:30 USD Nonfarm Productivity Q4 6.60% 6.50% 6.60%
13:30 USD Unit Labor Costs Q4 0.90% 0.40% 0.30%
14:45 USD Services PMI Feb F 56.7 56.7
15:00 USD ISM Services PMI Feb 60.5 59.9
15:00 USD ISM Services Prices Paid Feb 82.3
15:00 USD ISM Services Employment Index Feb 52.3
15:00 USD Factory Orders M/M Jan 0.50% -0.40%
15:30 USD Natural Gas Storage -138B -129B