Dollar Soft Despite Solid ADP Job Data, Euro Lacks Follow Through Momentum
Action Insight Mid-Day Report 3-30-22

Dollar Soft Despite Solid ADP Job Data, Euro Lacks Follow Through Momentum

Dollar is trading as the worst performing for the day, and receive no support from solid ADP private job data. The greenback is somewhat weighed down by extended retreat in benchmark US yields. On the other hand, Euro is supported by rising Germany benchmark yields, after consumer inflation hit the highest level in more than 40 years. Yet, Euro bulls are still not too committed to push it higher, as the hope of Russia ceasefire remains in doubt. Yen is the strongest one for today, trying to extend recovery.

Technically, we'd reiterate that some near term resistance levels need to be take out with conviction before Euro could prove it's underlying strength. the levels include 1.1120 support turned resistance in EUR/USD, 0.8476 structural resistance in EUR/GBP, and 1.0400 resistance in EUR/CHF. As for Dollar, it will probably need to wait until non-farm payroll report to have a chance for a come back.

In Europe, at the time of writing, FTSE is up 0.02%. DAX is down -1.64%. CAC is down -1.10%. Germany 10-year yield is up 0.051 at 0.683. Earlier in Asia, Nikkei dropped -0.80%. Hong Kong HSI rose 1.39%. China Shanghai SSE rose 1.96%. Singapore Strait Times rose 0.25%. Japan 10-year JGB yield dropped -0.0328 to 0.220.

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Top Movers | HeatMap | Pivot Points | Pivot Meters | Action Bias | Vol

EUR/USD Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.0992; (P) 1.1064 (R1) 1.1159; More...

Intraday bias in EUR/USD is mildly on the with focus on 1.1120 support turned resistance. Sustained break there will argue that it's at least correcting the decline from 1.2265. Further rally should then be seen to 38.2% retracement of 1.2265 to 1.0805 at 1.1363. On the downside, however, break of 1.0943 support will revive near term bearishness, and bring retest of 1.0805 low.

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EURUSD | USDJPY | GBPUSD | USDCHF | AUDUSD | USDCAD

EURJPY | EURGBP | EURCHF | EURAUD | GBPJPY

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Economic Calendar
GMT Ccy Events Actual Forecast Previous Revised
21:45 NZD Building Permits M/M Feb 10.50% -9.20% -8.70%
23:01 GBP BRC Shop Price Index Y/Y Feb 2.10% 1.80%
23:50 JPY Retail Trade Y/Y Feb -0.80% -0.30% 1.10%
00:00 NZD ANZ Business Confidence Mar -41.9 -51.8
07:00 CHF KOF Leading Indicator Mar 99.7 101 105 105.3
08:00 CHF Credit Suisse Economic Expectations Mar -27.8 9
09:00 EUR Eurozone Economic Sentiment Indicator Mar 108.5 110 114 113.9
09:00 EUR Eurozone Industrial Confidence Mar 10.4 8.9 14 14.1
09:00 EUR Eurozone Services Sentiment Mar 14.4 10 13 12.9
09:00 EUR Eurozone Consumer Confidence Mar F -18.7 -18.7 -18.7
12:00 EUR Germany CPI M/M Mar P 2.50% 1.60% 0.90%
12:00 EUR Germany CPI Y/Y Mar P 7.30% 6.10% 5.10%
12:15 USD ADP Employment Change Mar 455K 450K 475K 486K
12:30 USD GDP Annualized Q4 F 6.90% 7.10% 7.00%
12:30 USD GDP Price Index Q4 F 7.10% 7.10% 7.10%
14:30 USD Crude Oil Inventories -2.0M -2.5M