Dollar Rises after Job and Inflation Data, Euro Rally Falters
Action Insight Mid-Day Report 3-31-22

Dollar Rises after Job and Inflation Data, Euro Rally Falters

Dollar rises in early US session with help from solid job and strong inflation data. But Yen is even stronger as it continues to pare back recent steep losses. On the other hand, Euro turned weaker again as the rally attempt faltered. Underlying momentum in the common currency is very disappointing, mainly because the uncertainty over Ukraine remains uncleared. Commodity currencies also turned weaker on mild risk averse sentiments.

Technically, near term outlook in Euro pairs will be reassessed with today's retreats. For now, further rise will be in favor as long as 1.0943 support in EUR/USD, and 0.8924 support in EUR/GBP hold. However, break of 1.0184 support in EUR/CHF will revive near term bearishness for retesting 0.9977 low. Such development, if happens, could drag down EUR/USD and EUR/GBP too.

In Europe, at the time of writing, FTSE is down -0.25%. DAX is down -0.30%. CAC is down -0.44%. Germany 10-year yield is down -0.052 at 0.594. Earlier in Asia, Nikkei dropped -0.73%. Hong Kong HSI dropped -1.06%. China Shanghai SSE dropped -0.44%. Singapore Strait Times dropped -0.99%. Japan 10-year JGB yield dropped -0.0040 to 0.216.

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Top Movers | HeatMap | Pivot Points | Pivot Meters | Action Bias | Vol

EUR/USD Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.1104; (P) 1.1137 (R1) 1.1192; More...

EUR/USD retreats notably after hitting 1.1184 today. Intraday bias is turned neutral first. For now, further rise is mildly in favor as long as 1.0943 support holds. Break of 1.1184 will resume the rebound from 1.0805 to 38.2% retracement of 1.2265 to 1.0805 at 1.1363. However, break of 1.0943 will revive near term bearishness and bring retest of 1.0805 low first.

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EURUSD | USDJPY | GBPUSD | USDCHF | AUDUSD | USDCAD

EURJPY | EURGBP | EURCHF | EURAUD | GBPJPY

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Economic Calendar
GMT Ccy Events Actual Forecast Previous Revised
23:50 JPY Industrial Production M/M Feb P 0.10% 0.50% -0.80%
00:30 AUD Building Permits M/M Feb 43.50% 9.00% -27.90% -27.10%
00:30 AUD Private Sector Credit M/M Feb 0.60% 0.70% 0.60%
01:00 CNY NBS Manufacturing PMI Mar 49.5 50 50.2
01:00 CNY Non-Manufacturing PMI Mar 48.4 50.7 51.6
05:00 JPY Housing Starts Y/Y Feb 6.30% 1.10% 2.10%
06:00 EUR Germany Retail Sales M/M Feb 0.30% 0.80% 2.00% 1.40%
06:00 GBP GDP Q/Q Q4 F 1.30% 1.00% 1.00%
06:00 GBP Current Account (GBP) Q4 F -7.3B -19.0B -24.4B
06:30 CHF Real Retail Sales Y/Y Feb 12.80% 5.30% 5.10% 5.70%
06:45 EUR France Consumer Spending M/M Feb 0.80% 0.90% -1.50% -2.00%
07:55 EUR Germany Unemployment Change Mar -18K -20K -33K
07:55 EUR Germany Unemployment Rate Mar 5.00% 5.00% 5.00%
08:00 EUR Italy Unemployment Rate Feb 8.50% 8.70% 8.80%
09:00 EUR Eurozone Unemployment Rate Feb 6.80% 6.70% 6.80% 6.90%
12:30 CAD GDP M/M Jan 0.20% 0.40% 0.00% 0.10%
12:30 USD Initial Jobless Claims (Mar 25) 202K 200K 187K 188K
12:30 USD Personal Income M/M Feb 0.50% 0.50% 0.00% 0.10%
12:30 USD Personal Spending M/M Feb 0.20% 0.60% 2.10% 2.70%
12:30 USD PCE Price Index M/M Feb 0.60% 0.60%
12:30 USD PCE Price Index Y/Y Feb 6.40% 6.70% 6.10% 6.00%
12:30 USD Core PCE Price Index M/M Feb 0.40% 0.40% 0.50%
12:30 USD Core PCE Price Index Y/Y Feb 5.40% 5.50% 5.20%
13:45 USD Chicago PMI Mar 56.4 56.3
14:30 USD Natural Gas Storage 23B -51B