Stocks Staging Strong Rebound, Euro Follows, as Sentiment Improves
Action Insight Mid-Day Report 3-9-22

Stocks Staging Strong Rebound, Euro Follows, as Sentiment Improves

Risk sentiment seemed to have improved drastically today. There are talks that both Russia and Ukraine are softening their tone, which might give an exit for Russia abandoning the invasion eventually. Germany DAX is leading major European indexes higher with more than 5% rebound. US futures also point to higher open. Both gold and oil dip too. In the currency markets, Euro is currently the strongest one for the day, followed by Aussie and then Kiwi. Yen is the worst performer followed by Dollar and Swiss Franc.

Technically, attention will be paid to how US stocks close today, particularly the volatile NASDAQ. A close above 13837.58 resistance would definitely be a positive sign. Further break of 55 day EMA in the coming days would suggest that correction from 162122 (or at least this falling leg of the corrective pattern) has completed, and turn near term outlook bullish for stronger rebound. Such development would also be reflected in the currency markets with sustainable rebound in Euro. However, failing to break through 13837.58 will keep status quo, at least for now, and indicate that risk sentiment remains fragile.

In Europe, at the time of writing, FTSE is up 1.64%. DAX is up 5.24%. CAC is up 4.73%. Germany 10-year yield is up 0.0721 at 0.187. Earlier in Asia, Nikkei dropped -0.30%. Hong Kong HSI dropped -0.67%. China Shanghai SSE dropped -1.13%. Singapore Strait Times rose 1.48%. Japan 10-year JGB yield rose 0.0121 to 0.167.

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Top Movers | HeatMap | Pivot Points | Pivot Meters | Action Bias | Vol

EUR/USD Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.0849; (P) 1.0903; (R1) 1.0958; More...

EUR/USD's recovery from 1.0805 extends higher today but outlook is unchanged. Intraday bias stays neutral first. While stronger recovery cannot be ruled out, upside should be limited by 1.1120 support turned resistance to bring down trend resumption. On the downside, firm break of 61.8% projection of 1.2265 to 1.1120 from 1.1494 at 1.0786 will pave they way to 100% projection at 1.0349 next. However, strong break of 1.1120 will bring stronger rebound back to 1.1494 structural resistance instead.

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EURUSD | USDJPY | GBPUSD | USDCHF | AUDUSD | USDCAD

EURJPY | EURGBP | EURCHF | EURAUD | GBPJPY

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Economic Calendar
GMT Ccy Events Actual Forecast Previous Revised
21:45 NZD Manufacturing Sales Q4 12.00% -2.20%
23:30 AUD Westpac Consumer Confidence Mar -4.20% -1.30%
23:50 JPY GDP Q/Q Q4 F 1.10% 1.40% 1.30%
23:50 JPY GDP Deflator Y/Y Q4 F -1.30% -1.30% -1.30%
23:50 JPY Money Supply M2+CD Y/Y Feb 3.60% 3.50% 3.60%
01:30 CNY CPI Y/Y Feb 0.90% 0.80% 0.90%
01:30 CNY PPI Y/Y Feb 8.80% 8.70% 9.10%
06:00 JPY Machine Tool Orders Y/Y Feb 31.60% 61.40%
09:00 EUR Italy Industrial Output M/M Jan -3.40% 0.00% -1.00%
15:30 USD Crude Oil Inventories -1.1M -2.6M