Dollar and Yield Dip after CPI, Stocks Rebound
Action Insight Mid-Day Report 4-12-22

Dollar and Yield Dip after CPI, Stocks Rebound

Dollar drops in early US session together with treasury yields after consumer inflation data. While headline CPI came in higher than expected, core CPI's pick up missed expectations. Commodity currencies are trading generally higher as US futures point to a rebound in major stock indexes. European majors are also attempting a recovery but momentum is relatively weak. Yen is trading is tight range, consolidating recent losses.

Technically, a focus is now on whether USD/JPY would correct from current level, after rejection by 125.85 long term resistance. Bring of 124.66 minor support will bring deeper pull back. But overall, there shouldn't be any change in the up trend. Any retreat should be contained above 121.27 support, to bring another attempt on 125.85 resistance.

In Europe, at the time of writing, FTSE is down -0.45%. DAX is down -0.35%. CAC is down -0.12%. Germany 10-year yield is down -0.043 at 0.775. Earlier in Asia, Nikkei dropped -1.81%. Hong Kong HSI rose 0.52%. China Shanghai SSE rose 1.46%. Singapore Strait Times dropped -0.99%. Japan 10-year JGB yield rose 0.0052 to 0.244.

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Top Movers | HeatMap | Pivot Points | Pivot Meters | Action Bias | Vol

USD/CHF Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9287; (P) 0.9329; (R1) 0.9355; More....

Intraday bias in USD/CHF remains neutral for the moment. On the upside, firm break of 0.9380 should confirm that fall from 0.9459 has completed with three wave down to 0.9193. Such development will revive near term bullishness and turn bias back to the upside for 0.9459 and then 0.9471 resistance. On the downside, below 0.9280 minor support will turn bias to the downside for 0.9193 support next.

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EURUSD | USDJPY | GBPUSD | USDCHF | AUDUSD | USDCAD

EURJPY | EURGBP | EURCHF | EURAUD | GBPJPY

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Economic Calendar
GMT Ccy Events Actual Forecast Previous Revised
22:00 NZD NZIER Business Confidence Q1 -40 -28
23:01 GBP BRC Like-For-Like Retail Sales Y/Y Mar -0.40% 2.60% 2.70%
23:50 JPY Bank Lending Y/Y Mar 0.50% 0.50% 0.40%
23:50 JPY PPI Y/Y Mar 9.50% 9.30% 9.30% 9.70%
01:30 AUD NAB Business Confidence Mar 16 13
01:30 AUD NAB Business Conditions Mar 18 9
06:00 GBP Claimant Count Change Mar -46.9K -41.1K -48.1K
06:00 GBP ILO Unemployment Rate (3M) Feb 3.80% 3.80% 3.90%
06:00 GBP Average Earnings Including Bonus 3M/Y Feb 5.40% 5.70% 4.80%
06:00 GBP Average Earnings Excluding Bonus 3M/Y Feb 4.00% 3.70% 3.80%
06:00 EUR Germany CPI M/M Mar F 2.50% 2.50% 2.50%
06:00 EUR Germany CPI Y/Y Mar F 7.30% 7.30% 7.30%
06:45 EUR France Trade Balance (EUR) Feb -10.3B -9.3B -8.0B
09:00 EUR Germany ZEW Economic Sentiment Apr -41 -48 -39.3
09:00 EUR Germany ZEW Current Situation Apr -30.8 -35 -21.4
09:00 EUR Eurozone ZEW Economic Sentiment Apr -43 -46.5 -38.7
10:00 USD NFIB Business Optimism Index Mar 93.2 95 95.7
12:30 USD CPI M/M Mar 1.20% 1.10% 0.80%
12:30 USD CPI Y/Y Mar 8.50% 8.30% 7.90%
12:30 USD CPI Core M/M Mar 0.30% 0.50% 0.50%
12:30 USD CPI Core Y/Y Mar 6.50% 6.60% 6.40%