Dollar Broadly Firm after Record PPI, But Lacks Momentum Against Yen
Action Insight Mid-Day Report 4-13-22

Dollar Broadly Firm after Record PPI, But Lacks Momentum Against Yen

Dollar is trading broadly higher today, with help by upside breakout against Yen. The greenback on remains firm after record PPI reading. Sterling is currently the second strongest, followed by Euro. On the other hand, New Zealand Dollar is trading as the worst performing, even after RBNZ's 50bps hike. Kiwi followed by Aussie and and then Yen. Canadian Dollar is mixed, awaiting BoC rate hike.

Technically, a focus remains on USD/JPY which is struggling to clear 125.85 long term resistance, despite breaching it. The pair may need some help from other Yen crosses to give it a lift. To be more specific, EUR/JPY and GBP/JPY will need to break through 137.50 and 164.61 resistance respectively to help secure upside momentum in USD/JPY.

In Europe, at the time of writing, FTSE is down -0.08%. DAX is down -1.08%. CAC is down -0.79%. Germany 10-year yield is up 0.021 at 0.812. Earlier in Asia, Nikkei rose 1.93%. Hong Kong HSI rose 0.26%. China Shanghai SSE dropped -0.82%. Singapore Strait Times rose 0.36%. Japan 10-year JGB yield dropped -0.0043 to 0.244, still below BoJ's 0.25% cap.

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Top Movers | HeatMap | Pivot Points | Pivot Meters | Action Bias | Vol

USD/JPY Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 124.86; (P) 125.31; (R1) 125.85; More...

USD/JPY's rally resumed after brief retreat and intraday bias is back on the upside. Focus stays on 125.85 long term resistance. Sustained break there will carry larger bullish implication and target 130.04 long term projection level next. On the downside, break of 124.75 minor support will turn bias to the downside for pull back to 4 hour 55 EMA (now at 123.99) and possibly below.

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EURUSD | USDJPY | GBPUSD | USDCHF | AUDUSD | USDCAD

EURJPY | EURGBP | EURCHF | EURAUD | GBPJPY

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Economic Calendar
GMT Ccy Events Actual Forecast Previous Revised
23:50 JPY Money Supply M2+CD Y/Y Mar 3.50% 3.60% 3.60%
23:50 JPY Machinery Orders M/M Feb -9.80% -1.50% -2.00%
00:30 AUD Westpac Consumer Confidence Apr -0.90% -4.20%
02:00 NZD RBNZ Interest Rate Decision 1.50% 1.25% 1.00%
02:00 CNY Trade Balance (USD) Feb 47.38B 20.5B 116.0B
02:00 CNY Exports (USD) Y/Y Feb 14.70% 13.00% 16.30%
02:00 CNY Imports (USD) Y/Y Feb -0.10% 8.00% 15.50%
02:00 CNY Trade Balance (CNY) Feb 300.58B 131B 739B
02:00 CNY Exports (CNY) Y/Y Feb 12.90% 18.20% 13.60%
02:00 CNY Imports (CNY) Y/Y Feb -1.70% 11.40% 12.90%
06:00 GBP CPI M/M Mar 1.10% 0.70% 0.80%
06:00 GBP CPI Y/Y Mar 7.00% 6.70% 6.20%
06:00 GBP Core CPI Y/Y Mar 5.70% 5.40% 5.20%
06:00 GBP RPI M/M Mar 1.00% 0.90% 0.80%
06:00 GBP RPI Y/Y Mar 9.00% 8.80% 8.20%
06:00 GBP PPI Input M/M Mar 5.20% 0.50% 1.40%
06:00 GBP PPI Input Y/Y Mar 19.20% 13.40% 14.70%
06:00 GBP PPI Output M/M Mar 2.00% 0.70% 0.80%
06:00 GBP PPI Output Y/Y Mar 11.90% 10.20% 10.10%
06:00 GBP PPI Core Output M/M Mar 2.00% 0.90% 0.70%
06:00 GBP PPI Core Output Y/Y Mar 12.00% 10.60% 9.90%
08:00 EUR Italy Industrial Output M/M Feb 4.00% 1.50% -3.40%
12:30 USD PPI M/M Mar 1.40% 1.10% 0.80% 0.90%
12:30 USD PPI Y/Y Mar 11.20% 10.50% 10.00% 10.30%
12:30 USD PPI Core M/M Mar 1.00% 0.40% 0.20% 0.40%
12:30 USD PPI Core Y/Y Mar 9.20% 7.90% 8.40% 8.70%
14:00 CAD BoC Interest Rate Decision 1.00% 0.50%
14:30 USD Crude Oil Inventories 1.1M 2.4M