Euro Sees Modest Recovery Amid Improved Economic Sentiment, Canadian Down after CPI

Action Insight Daily Report 4-16-24

Euro Sees Modest Recovery Amid Improved Economic Sentiment, Canadian Down after CPI

Euro rises broadly today, lifted by significant improvement in economic sentiment indicators from Germany and the broader Eurozone. Despite these positive signals, current situation assessment remains subdued. While the worst may be over for Germany's economy, in particular the manufacturing sector, recovery is still in its nascent stages and further nurturing is required. The uptick in Euro is more likely a corrective move rather than a definitive trend reversal, given the overall weak momentum of the common currency.

Sterling is ranking as the second strongest performer for the day, next to Euro. The Pound largely overlooks the uptick in UK unemployment rate. Market focus remains on the persistently high wage inflation. Current conditions suggest it is still premature for BoE to consider interest rate cuts, as wage pressures do not yet show signs of significant easing...

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Top Movers | HeatMap | Pivot Points | Pivot Meters | Action Bias | Vol

EUR/USD Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.0608; (P) 1.0636; (R1) 1.0653; More...

A temporary low is in place at 1.0601 in EUR/USD with 4H MACD crossed above signal line. Intraday bias is turned neutral for consolidations first. While stronger recovery cannot be ruled out, upside should be limited by 1.0723 support turned resistance. On the downside, break of 1.0601 will resume the decline from 1.1138 to 100% projection of 1.1138 to 1.0694 from 1.0980 at 1.0536 next.

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EURUSD | USDJPY | GBPUSD | USDCHF | AUDUSD | USDCAD

EURJPY | EURGBP | EURCHF | EURAUD | GBPJPY

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Economic Calendar
GMT Ccy Events Actual Forecast Previous Revised
02:00 CNY GDP Y/Y Q1 5.30% 5.00% 5.20%
02:00 CNY Retail Sales Y/Y Mar 3.10% 5.10% 5.50%
02:00 CNY Industrial Production Y/Y Mar 4.50% 6.00% 7.00%
02:00 CNY Fixed Asset Investment YTD Y/Y Mar 4.50% 4.30% 4.20%
06:00 GBP Claimant Count Change Mar 10.9K 17.2K 16.8K 4.1K
06:00 GBP ILO Unemployment Rate (3M) Feb 4.20% 4.00% 3.90% 4.00%
06:00 GBP Average Earnings Including Bonus 3M/Y Feb 5.60% 5.50% 5.60%
06:00 GBP Average Earnings Excluding Bonus 3M/Y Feb 6.00% 6.10%
09:00 EUR Eurozone Trade Balance (EUR) Feb 17.9B 27.3B 28.1B 27.1B
09:00 EUR Germany ZEW Economic Sentiment Apr 42.9 35.1 31.7
09:00 EUR Germany ZEW Current Situation Apr -79.2 -80.5
09:00 EUR Eurozone ZEW Economic Sentiment Apr 43.9 37.2 33.5
12:30 CAD CPI M/M Mar 0.60% 0.70% 0.30%
12:30 CAD CPI Y/Y Mar 2.90% 2.80%
12:30 CAD CPI Median Y/Y Mar 2.80% 3.00% 3.10% 3.00%
12:30 CAD CPI Trimmed Y/Y Mar 3.10% 3.20% 3.20%
12:30 CAD CPI Common Y/Y Mar 2.90% 3.10% 3.10%
12:30 USD Building Permits Mar 1.32M 1.51M 1.52M 1.55M
12:30 USD Housing Starts Mar 1.46M 1.48M 1.52M
13:15 USD Industrial Production M/M Mar 0.40% 0.10%
13:15 USD Capacity Utilization Mar 78.50% 78.30%