Canadian Dollar Weakens on Cooling Consumer Inflation, Dollar Reversing Gains

Action Insight Mid-Day Report 4-18-23

Canadian Dollar Weakens on Cooling Consumer Inflation, Dollar Reversing Gains

Canadian Dollar weakens broadly in early US session, after data showed that consumer inflation slowed notably in March, in line with market expectations. However, Dollar has emerged as the day's worst performer, reversing some of this week's gains, even when compared to Yen. In contrast, Australian and New Zealand Dollars are performing strongly, buoyed by better-than-expected Chinese GDP and robust retail sales data. British Pound is also faring well due to encouraging job data and solid wage growth, while Euro and Swiss Franc lag behind.

Following up on GBP/CAD, today's bounce is raising the chance that corrective pattern from 1.6863 has completed with three waves down to 1.6535, after drawing support from 55 D EMA (now at 1.6562). Next focus is 1.6699 minor resistance. Sustained break there will solidify this bullish case and bring further rise through 1.6863 to resume larger up trend. However, sustained break of the 55 D EMA will argue that it's already in correction to whole up trend from 1.4069, and open up deeper decline to 1.6075 support and below.

In Europe, at the time of writing, FTSE is up 0.22%. DAX is up 0.73%. CAC is up 0.72%. Germany 10-year yield is down -0.0005 at 2.469. Earlier in Asia, Nikkei rose 0.51%. Hong Kong HSI dropped -0.63%. China Shanghai SSE rose 0.23%. Singapore Strait Times dropped -0.29%. Japan 10-year JGB yield dropped -0.0059 to 0.476.

Full Report Here

Top Movers | HeatMap | Pivot Points | Pivot Meters | Action Bias | Vol

USD/JPY Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 133.93; (P) 134.25; (R1) 134.79; More...

A temporary top is formed at 134.69 in USD/JPY with current retreat. Intraday bias is turned neutral first. But further rally will remain in favor as long as 312.03 support holds. Above 134.69 will resume the rally from 129.62, towards 137.90 resistance next.

Full Report Here

EURUSD | USDJPY | GBPUSD | USDCHF | AUDUSD | USDCAD

EURJPY | EURGBP | EURCHF | EURAUD | GBPJPY

Recommended Readings

Domestic Demand Picks Up in China

Crypto Market is Quickly Finding its Feet

EURJPY Just Below the October 2022 High

AUD/USD: Aussie Dollar Rises on Hawkish RBA/Upbeat Chinese GDP

GBPUSD Returns Back Inside Recent Rectangle

DXY: Waiting for the Final Wave of Bearish Double Zigzag

Mixed Data for China and UK Sees Markets Tread Water in Europe

Elliott Wave Suggests USDJPY May See Sellers Soon

Fundamental Analysis | Technical Analysis
In-depth Reports
alt
U.S. Dollar's Reserve Currency Status Still Secure
alt
US March CPI: Glass Half Something
Economic Calendar
GMT Ccy Events Actual Forecast Previous Revised
01:30 AUD RBA Meeting Minutes
02:00 CNY GDP Y/Y Q1 4.50% 4.00% 2.90%
02:00 CNY Fixed Asset Investment YTD Y/Y Mar 5.10% 5.80% 5.50%
02:00 CNY Industrial Production Y/Y Mar 3.90% 4.70% 2.40%
02:00 CNY Retail Sales Y/Y Mar 10.60% 8.00% 3.50%
06:00 GBP Claimant Count Change Mar 28.2K 10.2K -11.2K
06:00 GBP ILO Unemployment Rate (3M) Feb 3.80% 3.70% 3.70%
06:00 GBP Average Earnings Excluding Bonus 3M/Y Feb 6.60% 6.20% 6.50% 6.60%
06:00 GBP Average Earnings Including Bonus 3M/Y Feb 5.90% 5.10% 5.70% 5.90%
08:00 EUR Italy Trade Balance (EUR) Feb 2.11B -3.23B -4.19B -4.24B
09:00 EUR Germany ZEW Economic Sentiment Apr 4.1 15.1 13
09:00 EUR Germany ZEW Current Situation Apr -32.5 -40 -46.5
09:00 EUR Eurozone ZEW Economic Sentiment Apr 6.4 11.2 10
12:30 USD Building Permits Mar 1.41M 1.46M 1.52M 1.55M
12:30 USD Housing Starts Mar 1.42M 1.41M 1.45M 1.43M
12:30 CAD CPI M/M Mar 0.50% 0.60% 0.40%
12:30 CAD CPI Y/Y Mar 4.30% 4.30% 5.20%
12:30 CAD CPI Median Y/Y Mar 4.60% 4.50% 4.90%
12:30 CAD CPI Trimmed Y/Y Mar 4.40% 4.40% 4.80%
12:30 CAD CPI Common Y/Y Mar 5.90% 6.00% 6.40%