Sterling Falls Broadly after Weak Retail sales, Dollar Up
Action Insight Mid-Day Report 4-22-22

Sterling Falls Broadly after Weak Retail sales, Dollar Up

Sterling drops broadly today as weak UK retail sales data argues that the expected consumption drag from high inflation might have arrived already. Aussie is currently the second worse for the day, then Kiwi. On the other hand, Dollar is rebounding broadly, followed with help from risk aversion again. Yen also strengthens slightly in tight range while Euro is also steady. Canadian little gives little reaction to retail sales data.

Technically, EUR/GBP has finally break through 0.8379 resistance today, but that's more about the Pound's selloff than Euro's strength. Anyway, further rise is now expected back to 0.8511 resistance. Firm break there will reaffirm the case of medium term bottoming at 0.8201. A key to such development would be on downside acceleration in GBP/USD below 1.29 handle.

In Europe, at the time of writing, FTSE is down -0.67%. DAX is down 1.42%. CAC is down -1.50%. Germany 10-year yield is up 0.010 at 0.956. Earlier in Asia, Nikkei dropped -1.63%. Hong Kong HSI dropped -0.21%. China Shanghai SSE rose 0.23%. Singapore Strait Times rose 0.38%. Japan 10-year JGB yield dropped -0.0042 to 0.250.

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Top Movers | HeatMap | Pivot Points | Pivot Meters | Action Bias | Vol

GBP/USD Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.3004; (P) 1.3047; (R1) 1.3071; More...

GBP/USD's down trend resumes today by breaking through 1.2971 support. Intraday bias back on the downside. Sustained trading below 61.8% projection of 1.3641 to 1.2999 from 1.3297 at 1.2900 will pave the way to 100% projection at 1.2655. On the upside, break of 1.3089 resistance is needed to indicate short term bottoming. Otherwise, outlook will stay bearish in case of recovery.

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EURUSD | USDJPY | GBPUSD | USDCHF | AUDUSD | USDCAD

EURJPY | EURGBP | EURCHF | EURAUD | GBPJPY

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Economic Calendar
GMT Ccy Events Actual Forecast Previous Revised
23:00 AUD Manufacturing PMI Apr P 57.9 57.7
23:00 AUD Services PMI Apr P 56.6 55.6
23:01 GBP GfK Consumer Confidence Apr -38 -33 -31
23:30 JPY National CPI Core Y/Y Mar 0.80% 0.80% 0.60%
00:30 JPY Manufacturing PMI Apr P 53.4 53.3 54.1
06:00 GBP Retail Sales M/M Mar -1.40% -0.30% -0.30% -0.50%
06:00 GBP Retail Sales Y/Y Mar 0.90% 2.80% 7.00% 7.20%
06:00 GBP Retail Sales ex-Fuel M/M Mar -1.10% -0.50% -0.70% -0.90%
06:00 GBP Retail Sales ex-Fuel Y/Y Mar -0.60% 0.60% 4.60% 4.70%
07:15 EUR France Manufacturing PMI Apr P 55.4 56.4 54.7
07:15 EUR France Services PMI Apr P 58.8 53.7 57.4
07:30 EUR Germany Manufacturing PMI Apr P 54.1 54.4 56.9
07:30 EUR Germany Services PMI Apr P 57.9 55.5 56.1
08:00 EUR Eurozone Manufacturing PMI Apr P 55.3 54.5 56.5
08:00 EUR Eurozone Services PMI Apr P 57.7 55 55.6
08:00 EUR Current Account (EUR) Feb 20.8B 22.8B 22.6B
08:30 GBP Manufacturing PMI Apr P 55.3 54.9 55.2
08:30 GBP Services PMI Apr P 58.3 60.3 62.6
12:30 CAD Industrial Product Price M/M Mar 4.00% 2.00% 3.10% 2.60%
12:30 CAD Raw Material Price Index Mar 11.80% 7.10% 6.00% 6.40%
12:30 CAD Retail Sales M/M Feb 0.10% -0.50% 3.20% 3.30%
12:30 CAD Retail Sales ex Autos M/M Feb 2.10% 0.20% 2.50% 2.90%
13:45 USD Manufacturing PMI Apr P 58.3 58.8
13:45 USD Services PMI Apr P 58.1 58