Dollar Steadies After Early Weakness, Focus Turns to Australia Jobs Data

Action Insight Mid-Day Report 5-14-25

Dollar Steadies After Early Weakness, Focus Turns to Australia Jobs Data

US Dollar faced broad selling pressure throughout the Asian and European sessions but has since found some footing as markets transition into the US trading day. However, direction remains murky, with traders appearing undecided on whether to push the greenback higher or extend the recent pullback. A similar tone of uncertainty is mirrored in equities, as European indexes drift sideways and US futures show little conviction. With no major catalysts in the immediate pipeline, both FX and equity markets are likely to stay range-bound until fresh data offers clearer cues.

Attention now turns to Thursday’s key releases, including Australia’s April employment report and the UK’s GDP figures. While Australia’s stronger-than-expected Q1 wage price index suggested some resilience in pay growth, the detail showed continued moderation in the private sector. This is unlikely to derail RBA's expected rate cut next week, as the central bank remains focused on cushioning the economy from tariff-related risks. The upcoming April employment data will be more telling—especially if it deviates significantly from the expected 20.9k job growth and 4.1% unemployment rate. A downside surprise could fuel speculation of faster easing later this year....

Full Report Here

Top Movers | HeatMap | Pivot Points | Pivot Meters | Action Bias | Vol

USD/CHF Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.8367; (P) 0.8415; (R1) 0.8442; More….

Intraday bias in USD/CHF remains neutral for the moment. On the downside, firm break of 0.8333 resistance turned support will argue that corrective rebound from 0.8038 has completed at 0.8475, after rejection by 38.2% retracement of 0.9200 to 0.8038 at 0.8482. Intraday bias will be back on the downside for 0.8184, and then retest of 0.8038 low. However, sustained trading above 0.8482 will dampen this bearish view and target 61.8% retracement at 0.8756 next.

Full Report Here

EURUSD | USDJPY | GBPUSD | USDCHF | AUDUSD | USDCAD

EURJPY | EURGBP | EURCHF | EURAUD | GBPJPY

Recommended Readings

Crypto Market Grows on Altcoins

NZD/USD Recoups Weekly Losses: Will It Turn Bullish Again?

Yen Edges Higher as Market Capitalises on News-Driven Rebound

USD/JPY: Pullback Accelerates on Pressure from Bull-Trap /Falling Thick Daily Cloud

S&P 500 Index May Lose Upward Momentum

DAX Opens Positive, US Tech Stocks Rise, and Oil Prices Jump on Iran Sanctions

GBP/USD Edges Higher as EUR/GBP Loses Ground

Fundamental Analysis | Technical Analysis
In-depth Reports
alt
Rising After The Thaw: China's Economy Post-Trade Truce
alt
US-China: Trade Talks Succeed in De-escalation
alt
Bank of England Cuts Rates, Signals Gradual And Careful Monetary Easing
alt
FOMC's Holding Pattern Continues
Economic Calendar
GMT Ccy Events Actual Forecast Previous Revised
23:50 JPY PPI Y/Y Apr 4.00% 4.00% 4.20% 4.30%
01:30 AUD Wage Price Index Q/Q Q1 0.90% 0.80% 0.70%
06:00 EUR Germany CPI M/M Apr F 0.40% 0.40% 0.40%
06:00 EUR Germany CPI Y/Y Apr F 2.10% 2.10% 2.10%
12:30 CAD Building Permits M/M Mar -4.10% 1.00% 2.90% 4.90%
14:30 USD Crude Oil Inventories -2.0M -2.0M