Dollar Recovers in Tight Range, Sterling Down after CPI
Action Insight Mid-Day Report 5-18-22

Dollar Recovers in Tight Range, Sterling Down after CPI

Dollar and Yen are recovering mildly today but overall major pairs and crosses are stuck in very tight range. European majors are the weaker ones, with Sterling having a lower handle. Commodity currencies are mixed. Trading is also quiet in other markets with Gold continuing to hover slightly above 1800 handle. WTI crude oil is gyrating in tight range below 115. Bitcoin is flip-flopping around 30k. A surprise could be found in US 10-year yield ahead, which might reclaim 3% handle. That could help give Dollar a lift against Yen.

Technically, it looks like Sterling has already failed near term resistance level, after today's CPI data provided no fuel for further rally. GBP/USD retreated well ahead of 1.2637 resistance, and GBP/JPY ahead of 161.16 minor resistance. EUR/GBP also recovered ahead of 0.8365 support. There is slightly more prospect of more downside in the pound.

In Europe, at the time of writing, FTSE is down -0.47%. DAX is down -0.50%. CAC is down -0.51%. Germany 10-year yield is up 0.0235 at 1.076. Earlier in Asia, Nikkei rose 0.94%. Hong Kong HSI rose 0.20%. China Shanghai SSE dropped -0.25%. Singapore Strait Times rose 0.73%. Japan 10-year JGB yield rose 0.0016 to 0.246.

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Top Movers | HeatMap | Pivot Points | Pivot Meters | Action Bias | Vol

GBP/USD Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.2374; (P) 1.2436; (R1) 1.2557; More..

GBP/USD dips mildly today but overall, it's staying in consolidation from 1.2154. Intraday bias remains neutral at this point and further decline will remain in favor as long as 1.2637 resistance holds. On the downside, break of 1.2154 will resume the down trend from 1.4248 to 200% projection of 1.3641 to 1.2999 from 1.3297 at 1.2013. However, considering bullish convergence condition in 4 hour MACD, break of 1.2637 will confirm short term bottoming at 1.2154. Intraday bias will be turned back to the upside for 55 day EMA (now at 1.2816).

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EURUSD | USDJPY | GBPUSD | USDCHF | AUDUSD | USDCAD

EURJPY | EURGBP | EURCHF | EURAUD | GBPJPY

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Economic Calendar
GMT Ccy Events Actual Forecast Previous Revised
23:50 JPY GDP Q/Q Q1 P -0.20% -0.40% 1.10%
23:50 JPY GDP Deflator Y/Y Q1 P -0.40% -1.20% -1.30% 1.10%
00:30 AUD Westpac Leading Index M/M Apr -0.20% 0.30%
00:30 AUD Wage Price Index Q/Q Q1 0.70% 0.80% 0.70%
04:30 JPY Industrial Production M/M Mar F 0.30% 0.30% 0.30%
06:00 GBP CPI M/M Apr 2.50% 2.60% 1.10%
06:00 GBP CPI Y/Y Apr 9.00% 9.10% 7.00%
06:00 GBP Core CPI Y/Y Apr 6.20% 6.20% 5.70%
06:00 GBP RPI M/M Apr 3.40% 3.40% 1.00%
06:00 GBP RPI Y/Y Apr 11.10% 11.10% 9.00%
06:00 GBP PPI Input M/M Apr 1.10% 2.60% 5.20% 4.60%
06:00 GBP PPI Input Y/Y Apr 18.60% 20.70% 19.20% 18.60%
06:00 GBP PPI Output M/M Apr 2.30% 1.60% 2.00% 1.90%
06:00 GBP PPI Output Y/Y Apr 14.00% 12.50% 11.90%
06:00 GBP PPI Core Output M/M Apr 1.60% 1.60% 2.00% 1.80%
06:00 GBP PPI Core Output Y/Y Apr 13.00% 12.70% 12.00% 11.80%
09:00 EUR Eurozone CPI Y/Y Apr F 7.40% 7.50% 7.50%
09:00 EUR Eurozone Core CPI Y/Y Apr F 3.50% 3.50% 3.50%
12:30 CAD CPI M/M Apr 0.60% 0.70% 1.40%
12:30 CAD CPI Y/Y Apr 6.80% 6.70% 6.70%
12:30 CAD CPI Common Y/Y Apr 3.20% 2.90% 2.80% 3.00%
12:30 CAD CPI Median Y/Y Apr 4.40% 3.90% 3.80% 4.00%
12:30 CAD CPI Trimmed Y/Y Apr 5.10% 4.70% 4.70% 4.80%
12:30 USD Building Permits Apr 1.82M 1.83M 1.87M 1.88M
12:30 USD Housing Starts Apr 1.72M 1.77M 1.79M 1.73M
14:30 USD Crude Oil Inventories 2.1M 8.5M