Dollar Staying Weak ahead of FOMC Minutes, Canadian Dollar Lost Momentum
Action Insight Mid-Day Report 5-19-21

Stocks Fall on Inflation Data and Surging Yields, Dollar Recovering Mildly

Global equities are under selling pressure today with another round of rise in treasury yields. In particular, Germany 10-year yield jumped above -0.1% handle and hit the highest level since mid-2019. The development came after stronger than expected inflation reading from UK, which was later followed by Canada CPI. New Zealand Dollar and Australian Dollar are the weakest ones for now, followed by Swiss Franc. Dollar and Euro and the strongest, followed by Canadian.

Technically, on focus now is whether the selloff in equities would intensify and push commodity currencies lower. In particular, break of 0.7687 support in AUD/USD would indicate completion of rebound from 0.7530, and bring retest of this low. Similarly, break of 0.7133 support in NZD/USD will indicate completion of rebound form 0.6942 and bring retest of this support. The development could depend on FOMC minutes to be featured later in the session.

In Europe, at the time of writing, FTSE is down -1.32%. DAX is down -1.76%. CAC is down -1.55%. Germany 10-year yield is up 0.005 at -0.096. Earlier in Asia, Nikkei dropped -1.28%. Hong Kong was on holiday. China Shanghai SSE dropped -0.51%. Singapore Strait Times dropped -1.22%. Japan 10-year JGB yield dropped -0.0046 to 0.076.

Full Report Here

Top Movers | HeatMap | Pivot Points | Pivot Meters | Action Bias | Vol

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GBP/USD Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.4141; (P) 1.4180; (R1) 1.4228; More...

GBP/USD retreats ahead of 1.4240 high and intraday bias is turned neutral first. Further rise is still expected as long as 1.4004 support holds. Decisive break of 1.4240 will resume whole up trend from 1.1409 to 1.4376 key resistance next. However, break of 1.4004 will delay the bullish case. Intraday bias will be turned back to the downside to extend the consolidation pattern from 1.4240 with a another falling leg.

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EURUSD | USDJPY | GBPUSD | USDCHF | AUDUSD | USDCAD

EURJPY | EURGBP | EURCHF | EURAUD | GBPJPY

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Economic Calendar
GMT Ccy Events Actual Forecast Previous Revised
22:45 NZD PPI Input Q/Q Q1 2.10% 0.00% 0.00% 0.10%
22:45 NZD PPI Output Q/Q Q1 1.20% 0.00% 0.40% 0.50%
00:30 AUD Westpac Consumer Confidence May -4.80% 6.20%
01:30 AUD Wage Price Index Q/Q Q1 0.60% 0.50% 0.60%
04:30 JPY Industrial Production M/M Mar F 1.70% 2.20% 2.20%
06:00 GBP CPI M/M Apr 0.60% 0.50% 0.30%
06:00 GBP CPI Y/Y Apr 1.50% 1.40% 0.70%
06:00 GBP Core CPI Y/Y Apr 1.30% 1.20% 1.10%
06:00 GBP RPI M/M Apr 1.40% 0.80% 0.30%
06:00 GBP RPI Y/Y Apr 2.90% 2.30% 1.50%
06:00 GBP PPI Input M/M Apr 1.20% 0.60% 1.30% 1.90%
06:00 GBP PPI Input Y/Y Apr 9.90% 4.40% 5.90% 6.40%
06:00 GBP PPI Output M/M Apr 0.40% 0.40% 0.50% 0.80%
06:00 GBP PPI Output Y/Y Apr 3.90% 3.50% 1.90% 2.30%
06:00 GBP PPI Core Output M/M Apr 0.50% 0.30% 0.40% 0.70%
06:00 GBP PPI Core Output Y/Y Apr 2.50% 1.80% 1.70% 2.00%
09:00 EUR Eurozone CPI Y/Y Apr F 1.60% 1.60% 1.60%
09:00 EUR Eurozone CPI - Core Y/Y Apr F 0.70% 0.80% 0.80%
12:30 CAD CPI M/M Apr 0.50% 0.20% 0.50%
12:30 CAD CPI Y/Y Apr 3.40% 3.20% 2.20%
12:30 CAD CPI Common Y/Y Apr 1.70% 1.70% 1.50%
12:30 CAD CPI Median Y/Y Apr 2.30% 2.10% 2.10%
12:30 CAD CPI Trimmed Y/Y Apr 2.30% 2.20% 2.20%
14:30 USD Crude Oil Inventories 1.5M -0.4M
18:00 USD FOMC Minutes