CAD Rises after Retail Sales, Euro Tumbles
Action Insight Mid-Day Report 5-21-21

CAD Rises after Retail Sales, Euro Tumbles

Canadian Dollar rises in early US session after stronger than expected retail sales data. Sterling is also firm after strong PMIs. But Euro had little reaction to the solid PMI data. Instead, the common currency seems to be reacting to ECB President Christine Lagarde's comment that accommodative policies remain necessary for months to come. Euro is currently the weakest one for today, followed by Swiss Franc, and then Dollar.

Technically, EUR/CAD's sharp fall suggests that recovery from 1.4580 has completed, even though it was slightly stronger than expected. Focus is now back on 1.4580 low. Break will resume larger down trend. USD/CAD is also back under pressure, and sustained trading below 1.2061 cluster support will carry larger bearish implications. Deeper fall could then seen in USD/CAD for 1.1816 projection level next.

In Europe, at the time of writing, FTSE is down -0.08%. DAX is up 0.33%. CAC is up 0.51%. Germany 10-year yield is down -0.026 at -0.131. Earlier in Asia, Nikkei rose 0.78%. Hong Kong HSI rose 0.03%. China Shanghai SSE dropped -0.58%. Singapore Strait Times rose 0.26%. Japan 10-year JGB yield dropped -0.001 to 0.083.

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Top Movers | HeatMap | Pivot Points | Pivot Meters | Action Bias | Vol

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EUR/USD Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.2187; (P) 1.2208; (R1) 1.2247; More....

EUR/USD failed to break through 1.2244 temporary top and retreats notably. Intraday bias remains neutral and further rise is still expected as long as 1.2050 support holds. On the upside, break of 1.2244 will target a test on 1.2348 high. Decisive break there should confirm resumption of up trend from 1.0635. Next target is 1.2555 key long term resistance zone. However, break of 1.2050 will delay the bullish case. Intraday bias will be turned back to the downside to extend the consolidation pattern from 1.2348 with another falling leg.

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EURUSD | USDJPY | GBPUSD | USDCHF | AUDUSD | USDCAD

EURJPY | EURGBP | EURCHF | EURAUD | GBPJPY

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Fundamental Analysis | Technical Analysis
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Economic Calendar
GMT Ccy Events Actual Forecast Previous Revised
23:00 AUD Manufacturing PMI May P 59.9 59.7
23:00 AUD Services PMI May P 58.2 58.8
23:01 GBP GfK Consumer Confidence May -9 -13 -15
23:30 JPY National CPI Core Y/Y Apr -0.10% -0.20% -0.10%
00:30 JPY Manufacturing PMI May P 52.5 53.8 53.6
01:30 AUD Retail Sales M/M Apr P 1.10% 0.50% 1.30%
06:00 GBP Retail Sales ex-Fuel M/M Apr 9.00% 4.00% 4.90% 4.60%
06:00 GBP Retail Sales ex-Fuel Y/Y Apr 37.70% 31.40% 7.90%
06:00 GBP Retail Sales M/M Apr 9.20% 4.00% 5.40% 5.10%
06:00 GBP Retail Sales Y/Y Apr 42.40% 36.50% 7.20%
07:15 EUR France Manufacturing PMI May P 59.2 58.1 58.9
07:15 EUR France Services PMI May P 56.6 53 50.3
07:30 EUR Germany Manufacturing PMI May P 64 65.8 66.2
07:30 EUR Germany Services PMI May P 52.8 52 49.9
08:00 EUR Eurozone Manufacturing PMI May P 62.8 62.4 62.9
08:00 EUR Eurozone Services PMI May P 55.1 52 50.5
08:30 GBP Manufacturing PMI May P 66.1 60 60.9
08:30 GBP Services PMI May P 61.8 62 61
12:30 CAD Retail Sales M/M Mar 3.60% 2.30% 4.80%
12:30 CAD Retail Sales ex Autos M/M Mar 4.30% 4.00% 4.80%
13:45 USD Manufacturing PMI May P 60.4 60.5
13:45 USD Services PMI May P 64.6 64.7
14:00 USD Existing Home Sales M/M Apr 6.08M 6.01M
14:00 EUR Eurozone Consumer Confidence May P -6.8 -8.1