Euro Sees Near-Term Boost, Commodity Currencies Pressured

Action Insight Mid-Day Report 5-24-23

Euro Sees Near-Term Boost, Commodity Currencies Pressured

Today's trading session saw broad selling pressure on commodity currencies, partially due to risk-off sentiment prevalent in the market and partly due to the dovish rate hike from RBNZ. As it stands, Euro seems to be the major benefactor, in part due to its rebound against Swiss Franc. However, despite a slight recovery, the common currency is still considered bearish against Dollar in the near term. The uplift in Sterling following the Consumer Price Index (CPI) data proved to be short-lived. Yen, for its part, is consolidating its recent losses and appears still poised for a near-term decline.

From a technical perspective, EUR/CHF could be a focal point for the remainder of the day. Break of 0.9760 resistance level will confirm short-term bottoming at 0.9675, with a bullish convergence condition in 4H MACD. This could lead to a stronger rebound towards 0.9878 resistance level. If this occurs, stronger bounce in EUR/CHF could potentially aid Euro in rebounding further against both the Dollar and Sterling.

In Europe, at the time of writing, FTSE is down -1.77%. DAX is down -1.68%. CAC is down -1.76%. Germany 10-year yield is down -0.0206 at 2.451. Earlier in Asia, Nikkei dropped -0.89%. Hong Kong HSI dropped -1.62%. China Shanghai SSE dropped -1.28%. Singapore Strait Times dropped -0.12%. Japan 10-year JGB yield rose 0.0045 to 0.409.

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Top Movers | HeatMap | Pivot Points | Pivot Meters | Action Bias | Vol

EUR/AUD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.6224; (P) 1.6268; (R1) 1.6299; More...

Range trading continues in EUR/AUD and intraday bias remains neutral. Fall from 1.6785 might be a correction to whole up trend from 1.4281. Break of 1.6134 will target 38.2 retracement of 1.4281 to 1.6785 at 1.5828, which is inside 1.5254/5976 support zone. Nevertheless, sustained break of 1.6354 minor resistance will turn bias back to the upside for retesting 1.6785 high instead.

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EURUSD | USDJPY | GBPUSD | USDCHF | AUDUSD | USDCAD

EURJPY | EURGBP | EURCHF | EURAUD | GBPJPY

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Economic Calendar
GMT Ccy Events Actual Forecast Previous Revised
22:45 NZD Retail Sales Q/Q Q1 -1.40% 0.20% -0.60% -1.00%
22:45 NZD Retail Sales ex Autos Q/Q Q1 -1.10% -1.00% -1.30% -1.60%
00:30 AUD Westpac Leading Index M/M Apr 0.00% 0.00%
02:00 NZD RBNZ Rate Decision 5.50% 5.50% 5.25%
03:00 NZD RBNZ Press Conference
06:00 GBP CPI M/M Apr 1.20% 0.80% 0.80%
06:00 GBP CPI Y/Y Apr 8.70% 8.20% 10.10%
06:00 GBP Core CPI Y/Y Apr 6.80% 6.20% 6.20%
06:00 GBP RPI M/M Apr 1.50% 1.70% 0.70%
06:00 GBP RPI Y/Y Apr 11.40% 11.20% 13.50%
06:00 GBP PPI Input M/M Apr -0.30% -0.50% 0.20%
06:00 GBP PPI Input Y/Y Apr 3.90% 3.80% 7.60% 7.30%
06:00 GBP PPI Output M/M Apr 0.00% -0.10% 0.10% 0.00%
06:00 GBP PPI Output Y/Y Apr 5.40% 7.40% 8.70% 8.50%
06:00 GBP PPI Core Output M/M Apr 0.00% 0.10% 0.30%
06:00 GBP PPI Core Output Y/Y Apr 6.00% 7.30% 8.50% 8.30%
08:00 EUR Germany IFO Business Climate May 91.7 93.4 93.6 93.4
08:00 EUR Germany IFO Current Assessment May 94.8 95.2 95 93.1
08:00 EUR Germany IFO Expectations May 88.6 91.7 92.2 91.7
14:30 USD Crude Oil Inventories 1.5M 5.0M
18:00 USD FOMC Minutes