Aussie Mixed Despite Strong Export Data, Dollar Heading South
Action Insight Daily Report 5-25-21

Euro Surges Broadly on German Business Sentiment, DAX Hits Record

Euro surges broadly today, while German DAX and Stoxx 600 hit new record highs. Strong German business climate reading gave sentiments a strong lift. For now the common currency is only out-performed by New Zealand Dollar, and followed by Swiss Franc. On the other hand, positive market sentiment makes Yen the weakest one, followed by Dollar and then Sterling.

Technically, EUR/USD's break of 1.2244 confirms resumption of rise from 1.1703 for 1.2348 high. EUR/JPY also breaks 133.42 resistance to resume medium term up trend. Now, one focus will be on EUR/CHF. Euro's underlying strength would really be confirmed if 1.1026 resistance is taken out firmly to indicate completion of consolidation pattern from 1.1149.

In Europe, at the time of writing, FTSE is down -0.09%. DAX is up 0.69%. CAC is up 0.10%. Germany 10-year yield is down -0.0142 at -0.151. Earlier in Asia, Nikkei rose 0.67%. Hong Kong HSI rose 1.75%. China Shanghai SSE rose 2.40%. Singapore Strait Times rose 0.72%. Japan 10-year JGB yield dropped -0.0070 to 0.075.

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EUR/USD Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.2183; (P) 1.2206; (R1) 1.2240; More....

EUR/USD's rise from 1.1703 resumes by breaking 1.2244 temporary top today. Intraday bias is back on the upside for retesting 1.2348 high. Firm break there will resume larger up trend from 1.6039 for 1.2555 cluster resistance next. On the downside, however, break of 1.2160 support will delay the bullish case. Intraday bias will be turned back to the downside to extend the consolidation pattern from 1.2348 with another falling leg.

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EURUSD | USDJPY | GBPUSD | USDCHF | AUDUSD | USDCAD

EURJPY | EURGBP | EURCHF | EURAUD | GBPJPY

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Economic Calendar
GMT Ccy Events Actual Forecast Previous Revised
6:00 GBP Public Sector Net Borrowing (GBP) Apr 31.0B 34.2B 27.3B
6:00 EUR Germany GDP Q/Q Q1 F -1.80% -1.70% -1.70%
8:00 EUR Germany IFO Business Climate May 99.2 98.1 96.8
8:00 EUR Germany IFO Current Assessment May 95.7 95.5 94.1
8:00 EUR Germany IFO Expectations May 102.9 101 99.5
13:00 USD S&P/Case-Shiller Home Price Indices Y/Y Mar 11.70% 11.90%
13:00 USD Housing Price Index M/M Mar 1.40% 0.90%
14:00 USD Consumer Confidence May 119.9 121.7
14:00 USD New Home Sales Apr 950K 1021K
14:00 USD Richmond Fed Manufacturing Index May 19 17