Sterling Surges on BoE Rate Hike Talks, Canadian Dollar Rebound
Action Insight Mid-Day Report 5-27-21

Sterling Surges on BoE Rate Hike Talks, Canadian Dollar Rebound

Sterling jumps broadly today as a BoE officials indicated that rate hike could come next year. UK Prime Minister Boris Johnson also said there is nothing in data that suggests a delay to reopening on June 21, even though some more time is needed to assess the situation. Nevertheless, Canadian Dollar is even stronger for now. On the other hand, Swiss Franc and Yen are the worst performing ones, following rise in treasury yields. US 10-year yield is back above 1.6 handle ahead of US session.

Technically, GBP/JPY's break of 154.80 confirms up trend resistance for 156.59 long term resistance next. Eyes will also be on when GBP/USD would break through 1.4240 key resistance to resume up trend. Also, break of 1.2817 resistance in GBP/CHF will complete a head and shoulder bottom pattern (ls: 1.2621, h: 1.2579, rs: 1.2645). That should confirm completion of correction from 1.3070 and bring retest of this high.

In Europe, at the time of writing, FTSE is down -0.20%. DAX is down -0.17%. CAC is up 0.73%. Germany 10-year yield is up 0.0241 at -0.178. Earlier in Asia, Nikkei dropped -0.33%. Hong Kong HSI dropped -0.18%. China Shanghai SSE rose 0.43%. Singapore Strait Times rose 0.60%. Japan 10-year JGB yield rose 0.0006 to 0.076.

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GBP/USD Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.4096; (P) 1.4136; (R1) 1.4160; More...

Intraday bias in GBP/USD stays neutral and further rise is expected with 1.4098 support intact. On the upside, decisive break of 1.4240 will resume larger up trend for 1.4376 key resistance next.. On the downside, firm break of 1.4098 support will suggest rejection by 1.4240 resistance. Consolidation from 1.4240 would be then starting another falling leg. Intraday bias will be turned back to the downside for 1.4008 resistance turned support first.

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EURUSD | USDJPY | GBPUSD | USDCHF | AUDUSD | USDCAD

EURJPY | EURGBP | EURCHF | EURAUD | GBPJPY

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Economic Calendar
GMT Ccy Events Actual Forecast Previous Revised
01:30 AUD Private Capital Expenditure Q1 6.30% 2.20% 3.00% 4.20%
06:00 EUR Germany Gfk Consumer Confidence (Jun) -7 -5.3 -8.8 -8.6
06:00 CHF Trade Balance (CHF) Apr 3.29B 4.85B 5.82B
12:30 USD Initial Jobless Claims (May 21) 406K 430K 444K
12:30 USD GDP Annualized Q1 P 6.40% 6.50% 6.40%
12:30 USD GDP Price Index Q1 P 4.30% 4.10% 4.10%
12:30 USD Durable Goods Orders Apr -1.30% 0.80% 1.00%
12:30 USD Durable Goods Orders ex Transportation Apr 1.00% 0.70% 2.30%
14:00 USD Pending Home Sales M/M Apr 0.60% 1.90%
14:30 USD Natural Gas Storage 105B 71B