Dollar Flies High after Strong Inflation Reading
Action Insight Mid-Day Report 5-28-21

Dollar Flies High after Strong Inflation Reading

Dollar surges in early US session as boosted by stronger than expected inflation readings. Indeed, the core PCE inflation hit the highest level since 1991. With the current buying momentum, the greenback is likely to end the week on a high note, with prospect of closing as the strongest. On the other hand, commodity currencies are in rather steep decline, even the Kiwi. But Yen is more likely to end the week as the worst performer.

Technically, EUR/USD's break of 1.2160 support indicates short term topping, deeper fall could now be seen back to 1.1985 support. Next focus will be 0.9046 resistance in USD/CHF and break there should confirm short term bottoming at 0.8929. Meanwhile, USD/JPY is on track to retest 110.95 high.

In Europe, at the time of writing, FTSE is up 0.28%. DAX is up 0.67%. CAC is up 0.68%. Germany 10-year yield is down -0.0109 at -0.179. Earlier in Asia, Nikkei rose 2.1%. Hong Kong HSI rose 0.04%. China Shanghai SSE dropped -0.22%. Singapore Strait Times rose 0.43%. Japan 10-year JGB yield rose 0.0094 to 0.085.

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EUR/USD Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.2174; (P) 1.2194; (R1) 1.2214; More....

EUR/USD's break of 1.2160 support indicates short term topping at 1.2265. Intraday bias is back on the downside for 1.1985 support first. Consolidation pattern from 1.2348 is probably in its third leg already. Break of 1.1985 will target 1.1703 support next. On the upside, through, above 1.2265 will extend the rally from 1.1703 to retest 1.2348 high.

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EURUSD | USDJPY | GBPUSD | USDCHF | AUDUSD | USDCAD

EURJPY | EURGBP | EURCHF | EURAUD | GBPJPY

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Economic Calendar
GMT Ccy Events Actual Forecast Previous Revised
23:30 JPY Tokyo CPI Core Y/Y May -0.20% -0.20% -0.20%
23:30 JPY Unemployment Rate Apr 2.80% 2.70% 2.60%
06:00 EUR Germany Import Price Index M/M Apr 1.40% 1.00% 1.80%
06:45 EUR France CPI M/M May P 0.30% 0.30% 0.20% 0.10%
06:45 EUR France CPI Y/Y May P 1.80% 1.80% 1.60%
06:45 EUR France Consumer Spending M/M Apr -8.30% -4.10% -1.10% -0.30%
06:45 EUR France GDP Q/Q Q1 -0.10% 0.40% 0.40%
07:00 CHF KOF Leading Indicator May 143.2 134 136.4
09:00 EUR Eurozone Economic Sentiment Indicator May 114.5 112.1 110.3 110.5
09:00 EUR Eurozone Industrial Confidence May 11.5 11 10.7 10.9
09:00 EUR Eurozone Services Sentiment May 11.3 7 2.1 2.2
09:00 EUR Eurozone Consumer Confidence May F -5.1 -6 -5.1 -8.1
12:30 USD Personal Income M/M Apr -13.10% -14.00% 21.10% 20.90%
12:30 USD Personal Spending Apr 0.50% 0.60% 4.20% 4.70%
12:30 USD PCE Price Index M/M Apr 0.60% 0.20% 0.50% 0.60%
12:30 USD PCE Price Index Y/Y Apr 3.60% 2.20% 2.30% 2.40%
12:30 USD Core PCE Price Index M/M Apr 0.60% 0.70% 0.40%
12:30 USD Core PCE Price Index Y/Y Apr 3.10% 3.00% 1.80% 1.90%
12:30 USD Goods Trade Balance (USD) Apr P -85.2B -92.0B -90.6B
12:30 USD Wholesale Inventories Apr P 0.80% 0.70% 1.30%
13:45 USD Chicago PMI May 70 72.1
14:00 USD Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index May F 82.9 82.8