Comprehensive Miss in Non-Farm Payroll Data Sends Dollar Plummeting

Action Insight Daily Report 5-3-24

Comprehensive Miss in Non-Farm Payroll Data Sends Dollar Plummeting

Dollar falls steeply in early US session following a disappointing non-farm payroll report that fell short of market expectations across key metrics including job growth, unemployment rate, and wage growth. DOW futures surge over 500 pts at the same time while 10-year yield dives through 4.5% mark.

Despite the single month's data being insufficient for defining a trend, the NFP report has injected a fresh dose of optimism into the market, raising hopes that Fed might be more ready to start cutting interest rates this year. Currently, fed fund futures reflect a growing consensus among investors, with the probability of a rate cut in September rising to over 62%, up from 58% just a week earlier...

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Top Movers | HeatMap | Pivot Points | Pivot Meters | Action Bias | Vol

USD/CHF Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9079; (P) 0.9126; (R1) 0.9155; More....

USD/CHF's sharp fall and strong break of 0.9087 support confirms short term topping at 0.9223, after first rejection from 0.9243 key resistance. Intraday bias is back on the downside, and deeper fall would be seen to 38.2% retracement of 0.8332 to 0.9223 at 0.8883. On the upside, above 0.9087 will now turn intraday bias again first.

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EURUSD | USDJPY | GBPUSD | USDCHF | AUDUSD | USDCAD

EURJPY | EURGBP | EURCHF | EURAUD | GBPJPY

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Economic Calendar
GMT Ccy Events Actual Forecast Previous Revised
06:45 EUR France Industrial Output M/M Mar -0.30% 0.30% 0.20%
08:00 EUR Italy Unemployment Mar 7.20% 7.50% 7.50% 7.40%
08:30 GBP Services PMI Apr F 55 54.9 54.9
09:00 EUR Eurozone Unemployment Rate Mar 6.50% 6.50% 6.50%
12:30 USD Nonfarm Payrolls Apr 175K 243K 303K 315K
12:30 USD Unemployment Rate Apr 3.90% 3.80% 3.80%
12:30 USD Average Hourly Earnings M/M Apr 0.20% 0.30% 0.30%
13:45 USD Services PMI Apr F 50.9 50.9
14:00 USD ISM Services PMI Apr 52.3 51.4