Sterling and Dollar Softer in Subdued Trading, Aussie Firm ahead of RBA
Action Insight Mid-Day Report 5-31-21

Sterling and Dollar Softer in Subdued Trading, Aussie Firm ahead of RBA

Trading continue to be relatively subdued as US and UK are both on holiday. Sterling is mildly softer, followed by Dollar, and Swiss Franc. On the other hand, Australian Dollar is strengthening mildly, ahead of RBA rate decision in the upcoming Asian session. It's highly unlikely for the central bank to alter the forward guidance that, the conditions of a rate hike is unlikely to be met until 2024 at the earliest. But it's still possible for the Aussie to get some hawkish surprise.

Technically, 0.7673 support in AUD/USD would be the major focus in the upcoming house. As long as this support holds, we'd still expect rise from 0.7530 to resume sooner or later. Break of 0.7890 resistance should confirm underlying buying momentum for a test on 0.8004 high. Such development, if happens, should ideally be accompanied by break of 1.5723 minor support in EUR/AUD to bring deeper fall to 1.5418 support.

In Europe, at the time of writing, DAX is down -0.28%. CAC is down -0.06%. Germany 10-year yield is up 0.0164 at -0.163. Earlier in Asia, Nikkei dropped -0.99%. Hong Kong HSI rose 0.09%. China Shanghai SSE rose 0.41%. Singapore Strait Times dropped -0.45%. Japan 10-year JGB yield dropped -0.0054 to 0.080.

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GBP/USD Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.4146; (P) 1.4178; (R1) 1.4221; More...

GBP/USD is still bounded in consolidation from 1.4232 and intraday bias remains neutral for the moment. Further rise is still in favor with 1.4090 support intact. On the upside, decisive break of 1.4240 resistance will resume larger up trend from 1.1409, for 1.4376 key resistance next. On the downside, though, break of 1.4090 support will extend the consolidation from 1.4240 with another falling leg. Intraday bias will be turned back to the downside for 1.4008 resistance turned support first.

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EURUSD | USDJPY | GBPUSD | USDCHF | AUDUSD | USDCAD

EURJPY | EURGBP | EURCHF | EURAUD | GBPJPY

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Economic Calendar
GMT Ccy Events Actual Forecast Previous Revised
23:50 JPY Industrial Production M/M Apr P 2.50% 4.10% 1.70%
23:50 JPY Retail Trade Y/Y Apr 12.00% 15.40% 5.20%
01:00 CNY Manufacturing PMI May 51 51.1 51.1
01:00 CNY Non-Manufacturing PMI May 55.2 52.7 54.9
01:00 NZD ANZ Business Confidence May 1.8 7
01:30 AUD Private Sector Credit M/M Apr 0.20% 0.40% 0.40%
05:00 JPY Housing Starts Y/Y Apr 7.10% 5.20% 1.50%
05:00 JPY Consumer Confidence May 34.1 35.3 34.7
08:00 EUR Eurozone M3 Money Supply Y/Y Apr 9.20% 9.50% 10.10% 10.00%
12:00 EUR Germany CPI M/M May P 0.50% 0.30% 0.70%
12:00 EUR Germany CPI Y/Y May P 2.50% 2.40% 2.00%
12:30 CAD Industrial Product Price M/M Apr 1.60% 0.80% 1.60%
12:30 CAD Raw Material Price Index Apr 1.00% 1.70% 2.30%
12:30 CAD Current Account (CAD) Q1 1.2B 2.4B -7.3B