Euro Dips Despite Record Inflation, Dollar Recovering
Action Insight Mid-Day Report 5-31-22

Euro Dips Despite Record Inflation, Dollar Recovering

Euro is trading broadly lower today even though inflation high another record high. The common currency and European indexes are somewhat weighed down by EU's decision to ban two-thirds of Russian oil imports immediately. Dollar is rebounding following some risk aversion, together with Swiss Franc. But Canadian Dollar remains firm as supported by surging oil prices. Australian Dollar is also firm, but Yen and Sterling are weak.

Technically, a focus is now on whether EUR/CHF would finally resume the fall from 1.0513. Break of 1.0228 temporary low would also affirm the case that corrective rebound from 0.9970 has completed with three waves up to 1.0513. If that happens, Euro could be dragged further lower elsewhere, in particular against Canadian and Australian Dollars.

In Europe, at the time of writing, FTSE is up 0.24%. DAX is down -1.20%. CAC is down -1.38%. Germany 10-year yield is up 0.066 at 1.122. Earlier in Asia, Nikkei dropped -0.33%. Hong Kong HSI rose 1.38%. China Shanghai SSE rose 1.19%. Singapore Strait Times dropped -0.20%. Japan 10-year JGB yield rose 0.0063 to 0.240.

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Top Movers | HeatMap | Pivot Points | Pivot Meters | Action Bias | Vol

EUR/USD Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.0742; (P) 1.0764 (R1) 1.0803; More...

Intraday bias in EUR/USD is turned neutral with current retreat. On the upside, break of 1.0786, and sustained trading above 55 day EMA (now at 1.0758) will target 1.0935 resistance next. On the downside, however, break of 1.641 minor support will indicate rejection by 55 day EMA, and turn bias back to the downside for retesting 1.0348 low instead.

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EURUSD | USDJPY | GBPUSD | USDCHF | AUDUSD | USDCAD

EURJPY | EURGBP | EURCHF | EURAUD | GBPJPY

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Economic Calendar
GMT Ccy Events Actual Forecast Previous Revised
22:45 NZD Building Permits M/M Apr -8.50% 5.80% 6.20%
23:30 JPY Unemployment Rate Apr 2.50% 2.60% 2.60%
23:50 JPY Industrial Production M/M Apr P -1.30% -0.20% 0.30%
23:50 JPY Retail Trade Y/Y Apr 2.90% 2.60% 0.90%
01:00 NZD ANZ Business Confidence May -55.6 -42
01:30 AUD Building Permits M/M Apr -2.40% 2.00% -18.50% -19.20%
01:30 AUD Private Sector Credit M/M Apr 0.80% 0.50% 0.40% 0.60%
01:30 AUD Current Account Balance (AUD) Q1 7.5B 13.4B 12.7B 13.2B
01:30 CNY Manufacturing PMI May 49.6 49.6 47.4
01:30 CNY Non-Manufacturing PMI May 47.8 45.2 41.9
05:00 JPY Housing Starts Y/Y Apr 2.20% 3.00% 6.00%
05:00 JPY Consumer Confidence Index May 34.1 33.9 33
06:00 CHF Trade Balance (CHF) Apr 4.13B 3.50B 2.99B
06:30 CHF Real Retail Sales Y/Y Apr -6.00% -1.40% -6.60%
06:45 EUR France Consumer Spending M/M Apr -0.40% 0.40% -1.30%
06:45 EUR France GDP Q/Q Q1 -0.20% 0.00% 0.00%
07:00 CHF GDP Q/Q Q1 0.50% 0.30% 0.30%
07:55 EUR Germany Unemployment Change May -4K -16K -13K
07:55 EUR Germany Unemployment Rate May 5.00% 5.00% 5.00%
08:30 GBP M4 Money Supply M/M Apr 0.00% 0.20% 0.10%
08:30 GBP Mortgage Approvals (GBP) Apr 66K 72K 71K
09:00 EUR Eurozone CPI Y/Y May P 8.10% 7.70% 7.50%
09:00 EUR Eurozone CPI Core Y/Y May P 3.80% 3.50% 3.50%
12:30 CAD GDP M/M Mar 0.70% 0.50% 1.10%
13:00 USD S&P/CS Composite-20 HPI Y/Y Mar 21.20% 20.80% 20.20% 20.30%
13:00 USD Housing Price Index M/M Mar 1.50% 1.80% 2.10% 1.90%
13:45 USD Chicago PMI May 55.8 56.4
14:00 USD Consumer Confidence May 103.9 107.3