Dollar and Yen Extending Consolidations, Trading Mildly Higher
Action Insight Mid-Day Report 5-4-21

Dollar and Yen Extending Consolidations, Trading Mildly Higher

Dollar and Yen rebound notably today as consolidative trading continues, with help from mixed sentiments. European indices are mixed while US futures point to lower open. Major global trading yields are trading lower, with US 10-year yield below 1.6 handle. New Zealand Dollar is leading Australian Dollar lower, followed by Sterling.

Technically, we'd maintain the current recoveries in Dollar and Yen are just part of consolidations, rather than reversal. Indeed, we'll keep an eye on 1.2075 minor resistance in EUR/USD. Break will suggest that pull back in EUR/USD, and recovery in Dollar, has completed.

In Europe, at the time of writing, FTSE is up 0.06%. DAX is down -1.50%. CAC is down -0.46%. Germany 10-year yield is down -0.0297 at -0.230. Earlier in Asia, Hong Kong HSI rose 0.70%. Singapore Strait Times dropped -0.18%. Japan and China were on holiday.

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EUR/USD Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.2025; (P) 1.2050; (R1) 1.2088; More....

EUR/USD is staying in consolidation below 1.2149 and intraday bias remains neutral. Downside should be contained by 38.2% retracement of 1.1703 to 1.2149 at 1.1979 to bring rebound. On the upside, above 1.2075 minor resistance will turn bias back to the upside for 1.2149 resistance. Break there will resume the rise from 1.1703 to 1.2242/2348 resistance zone. However, firm break of 1.1979 will bring deeper fall to 1.1873.

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EURUSD | USDJPY | GBPUSD | USDCHF | AUDUSD | USDCAD

EURJPY | EURGBP | EURCHF | EURAUD | GBPJPY

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Economic Calendar
GMT Ccy Events Actual Forecast Previous Revised
01:30 AUD Trade Balance (AUD) Mar 5.57B 8.30B 7.53B 7.60B
04:30 AUD RBA Rate Decision 0.10% 0.10% 0.10%
07:00 CHF SECO Consumer Climate Q2 -7 -11 -15
08:30 GBP Mortgage Approvals Mar 83KK 85K 88K
08:30 GBP Manufacturing PMI Apr F 60.9 60.7 60.7
08:30 GBP M4 Money Supply M/M Mar 0.60% 0.80% 0.80%
12:30 CAD Building Permits M/M Mar 5.70% 1.60% 2.10% 3.10%
12:30 CAD Trade Balance (CAD) Mar -1.1B 0.5B 1.0B 1.4B
12:30 USD Trade Balance (USD) Mar -74.4B -73.4B -71.1B -70.5B
14:00 USD Factory Orders M/M Mar 1.10% -0.80%