Sterling Collapses after Dovish BoE Hike, Dollar Regains Ground
Action Insight Mid-Day Report 5-5-22

Sterling Collapses after Dovish BoE Hike, Dollar Regains Ground

Sterling drops sharply today even after BoE raised interest rate as expected. The trigger was the warning that of recession as high inflation hurts real incomes of household and profits of businesses. Aussie and Kiwi are also trading lower as yesterday's risk-on rally fades. Dollar, on the other hand, is regaining some of the post FOMC losses. As for the week, though, Sterling is the worst so far, followed by Franc. Aussie is still the strongest, followed by Loonie.

Technically, the development in Sterling is rather bad, with GBP/USD breaking through 1.2410 support to resume medium term down trend. EUR/GBP's strong break of 0.8511 resistance reaffirms that it's in medium term rebound. A focus now is indeed on whether Euro will also follow. Hence, attention will be back on 1.0470 support in EUR/USD.

In Europe, at the time of writing, FTSE is up 1.58%. DAX is up 1.56%. CAC is up 1.90%. Germany 10-year yield is down -0.0045 at 0.928. Earlier in Asia, Japan was on holiday. Hong Kong HSI dropped -0.36%. China Shanghai SSE rose 0.68%. Singapore Strait Times dropped -0.17%.

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Top Movers | HeatMap | Pivot Points | Pivot Meters | Action Bias | Vol

GBP/USD Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.2513; (P) 1.2575; (R1) 1.2699; More...

GBP/USD's down trend resumes by breaking through 1.2410 support. Intraday bias is back on the downside for 161.8% projection of 1.3641 to 1.2999 from 1.3297 at 1.2258. Break will target 200% projection at 1.2013 next. On the upside, break of 1.2637 resistance is needed to indicate short term bottoming. Otherwise, outlook will remain bearish in case of recovery.

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EURUSD | USDJPY | GBPUSD | USDCHF | AUDUSD | USDCAD

EURJPY | EURGBP | EURCHF | EURAUD | GBPJPY

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Economic Calendar
GMT Ccy Events Actual Forecast Previous Revised
01:30 AUD Building Permits M/M Mar -18.50% -12.00% 43.50% 42.00%
01:30 AUD Trade Balance (AUD) Mar 9.31B 7.80B 7.46B 7.44B
01:45 CNY Caixin Services PMI Apr 36.2 40.9 42
06:00 EUR Germany Factory Orders Mar -4.70% -0.50% -2.20% -0.80%
06:30 CHF CPI M/M Apr 0.40% 0.20% 0.60%
06:30 CHF CPI Y/Y Apr 2.50% 2.50% 2.40%
06:45 EUR France Industrial Output M/M Mar -0.50% 0.00% -0.90%
08:30 GBP Services PMI Apr F 58.9 58.3 58.3
11:00 GBP BoE Interest Rate Decision 1.00% 1.00% 0.75%
11:00 GBP MPC Official Bank Rate Votes 9--0--0 8--0--1 8--0--1
11:30 USD Challenger Job Cuts Y/Y Apr 6.00% -30.10%
12:30 USD Initial Jobless Claims (Apr 29) 200K 176K 180K 181K
12:30 USD Nonfarm Productivity Q1 P -7.50% -5.10% 6.60%
12:30 USD Unit Labor Costs Q1 P 11.60% 7.40% 0.90%
14:30 USD Natural Gas Storage 69B 40B