Euro Weakens Amid Faltering Economic Recovery, Commodity Currencies Shine

Action Insight Mid-Day Report 5-8-23

Euro Weakens Amid Faltering Economic Recovery, Commodity Currencies Shine

Eurn turns weaker today after investor confidence data suggests that economic recovery might be faltering. But for now, Yen and Dollar are even weaker. Sterling and Swiss Franc are not much better than Euro too. Commodity currencies are the stars of the day, with New Zealand Dollar leading the way. Canadian Dollar is also catching up quickly, following Australian Dollar. Overall, the movement in currencies for the rest of the day will very much depend on development in risk sentiment.

Technically, one immediate focus now is whether EUR/AUD's selloff would accelerate from current level. Sustained break of 1.6219 support, which is close to 55 D EMA (now at 1.6191) would argue that it's already in correction to whole up trend from 1.4281. Deeper fall would be seen to 1.5254/5976 support zone. At the same time, break of 1.4621 support in EUR/CAD would align the outlook and bring deeper decline to 1.4235 support.

In Europe, UK is on holiday. At the time of writing, DAX is up 0.21%. CAC is up 0.30%. Germany 10-year yield is up 0.0354 at 2.330. Earlier in Asia, Nikkei dropped -0.71%. Hong Kong HSI rose 1.24%. China Shanghai SSE rose 1.81%. Singapore Strait Times dropped -0.27%. Japan 10-year JGB yield dropped -0.0107 to 0.413.

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Top Movers | HeatMap | Pivot Points | Pivot Meters | Action Bias | Vol

EUR/AUD Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.6266; (P) 1.6365; (R1) 1.6416; More...

Immediate focus is now on 1.6219 support tin EUR/AUD. Considering bearish divergence condition in D MACD, decisive break of 1.6219 will argue that it's already in correction to whole up trend from 1.4281. Deeper decline would then be seen to 38.2% retracement of 1.4281 to 1.6785 at 1.5282, which is inside 1.5254/5976 support zone. On the upside, break of 1.6411 minor resistance will retain near term bullishness and turn bias back to the upside for retesting 1.6785 high.

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EURUSD | USDJPY | GBPUSD | USDCHF | AUDUSD | USDCAD

EURJPY | EURGBP | EURCHF | EURAUD | GBPJPY

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Economic Calendar
GMT Ccy Events Actual Forecast Previous Revised
23:50 JPY BoJ Meeting Minutes
01:30 AUD NAB Business Conditions Apr 14 16
01:30 AUD NAB Business Confidence Apr 0 -1
01:30 AUD Building Permits M/M Mar -0.10% 3.00% 4.00%
06:00 EUR Germany Industrial Production M/M Mar -3.40% -1.60% 2.00% 2.10%
08:30 EUR Eurozone Sentix Investor Confidence May -13.1 -7.9 -8.7
14:00 USD Wholesale Inventories Mar F 0.10% 0.10%