Canadian Dollar Jumps With Oil Price, Supported by GDP
Action Insight Mid-Day Report 6-1-21

Canadian Dollar Jumps With Oil Price, Supported by GDP

Canadian Dollar jumps broadly today, following upside breakout in oil price, and partly supported by solid GDP growth data. Australian Dollar is following as the second strongest, while Dollar is also rebounding. On the other hand, Sterling reversed earlier rallies after failing to sustain above a key resistance against Dollar. Subsequent selloff sends the Pound as the weakest today, followed by Kiwi.

Technically, WTI crude oil's break of 67.83 resistance confirms up trend resumption. Near term bullishness is affirmed by strong support from rising 55 day EMA. Next target is 70 psychological level, and then 76.75 long term resistance. CAD/JPY is also on track to key resistance zone at 91.62, 61.8% projection of 77.91 to 88.28 from 85.40 at 91.80. We'd see if CAD/JPY would top around there, or strength in oil prices would push it through this key resistance zone.

In Europe, at the time of writing, FTSE is up 1.25%. DAX is up 1.65%. CAC is up 1.09%. Germany 10-year yield is down -0.009 at -0.174. Earlier in Asia, Nikkei dropped -0.16%. Hong Kong HSI rose 1.08%. China Shanghai SSE rose 0.26%. Singapore Strait Times rose 0.73%. Japan 10-year JGB yield rose 0.0002 to 0.080.

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USD/CAD Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.2045; (P) 1.2069; (R1) 1.2089; More...

Intraday bias in USD/CAD remains neutral first and outlook is unchanged. We'd stay cautious on strong support from 1.2048/61 to bring reversal. On the upside, break of 1.2201 resistance will indicate short term bottoming and turn bias to the upside for stronger rebound. On the downside, break of 1.2011, and sustained break of 1.2048/61 will carry larger bearish implications. Next near term target will be 161.8% projection of 1.2880 to 1.2363 from 1.2653 at 1.1816.

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EURUSD | USDJPY | GBPUSD | USDCHF | AUDUSD | USDCAD

EURJPY | EURGBP | EURCHF | EURAUD | GBPJPY

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Economic Calendar
GMT Ccy Events Actual Forecast Previous Revised
22:30 AUD AiG Performance of Manufacturing May 61.8 61.7
22:45 NZD Building Permits M/M Apr 4.80% 17.90% 19.20%
23:50 JPY Capital Spending Q1 -7.80% -9.00% -4.80%
00:30 JPY Manufacturing PMI May F 53 52.5 52.5
01:30 AUD Current Account (AUD) Balance Q1 18.3B 17.8B 14.5B 16.0B
01:30 AUD Company Gross Operating Profits Q/Q Q1 -0.30% 3.60% -6.60% -4.80%
01:30 AUD Building Permits M/M Apr -8.60% -10.10% 17.40% 18.90%
01:45 CNY Caixin Manufacturing PMI May 52 51.7 51.9
04:30 AUD RBA Interest Rate Decision 0.10% 0.10% 0.10%
06:30 CHF Real Retail Sales Y/Y Apr 35.70% 15.40% 22.60%
07:00 CHF GDP Q/Q Q1 -0.50% -0.50% 0.30% 0.10%
07:30 CHF SVME PMI May 69.9 70 69.5
07:45 EUR Italy Manufacturing PMI May 62.3 62 60.7
07:50 EUR France Manufacturing PMI May F 59.4 59.2 59.2
07:55 EUR Germany Manufacturing PMI May F 64.4 64 64
07:55 EUR Germany Unemployment Change May -15K -9K 9K 8K
07:55 EUR Germany Unemployment Rate May 6.00% 6.00% 6.00%
08:00 EUR Italy Unemployment Mar 10.70% 10.10% 10.10% 10.40%
08:00 EUR Eurozone Manufacturing PMI May F 63.1 62.8 62.8
08:30 GBP Manufacturing PMI May F 65.6 66.1 66.1
09:00 EUR Eurozone CPI Y/Y May P 2.00% 1.90% 1.60%
09:00 EUR Eurozone CPI Core Y/Y May P 0.90% 0.90% 0.70%
09:00 EUR Eurozone Unemployment Rate Apr 8.00% 8.10% 8.10%
12:30 CAD GDP M/M Mar 1.10% 1.00% 0.40%
13:30 CAD Manufacturing PMI May 57.9 57.2
13:45 USD Manufacturing PMI May F 61.5 61.5
14:00 USD ISM Manufacturing PMI May 61 60.7
14:00 USD ISM Manufacturing Prices Paid May 86.1 89.6
14:00 USD ISM Manufacturing Employment May 61.5 55.1
14:00 USD Construction Spending M/M Apr 0.50% 0.20%