Muted Reactions to ECB and US CPI, Yen Lower Following Yield Rebound
Action Insight Mid-Day Report 6-10-21

Muted Reactions to ECB and US CPI, Yen Lower Following Yield Rebound

There are heavy weights event for Euro and Dollar today, but reactions are so far mild. ECB said it will continue the PEPP purchases at "significantly higher" pace in Q3. Yet, it also upgraded both growth in and inflation forecast for this year and next. Dollar shrug off very strong consumer inflation, as well as continuous improvement in job data. Instead, Yen is stealing the show with some selloff, together with rebound in treasury yields.

Technically, now, focus is turning to some Yen crosses before weekly close. In particular, levels to watch include 134.11 resistance in EUR/JPY, 156.05 resistance in GBP/JPY and 91.16 resistance in CAD/JPY. Break of these levels will confirm up trend resumption. Also, CHF/JPY might lead the way by breaking through 122.50 resistance to resume recent rally too.

In Europe at the time of writing, FTSE is up 0.32%. DAX is up 0.11%. CAC is down -0.17%. Germany 10-year yield is up 0.13 at -0.228. Earlier in Asia, Nikkei rose 0.34%. Hong Kong HSI dropped -0.01%. China Shanghai SSE rose 0.54%. Singapore Strait Times rose 0.29%. Japan 10-year JGB yield dropped -0.0216 to 0.050. US 10-year yield is up 0.027 at 1.517, back above 1.5 handle.

Full Report Here

Top Movers | HeatMap | Pivot Points | Pivot Meters | Action Bias | Vol

BOC Drew Attention to Rise in Core Inflation
Gasoline and Distillate Inventories Built on Sharp Fall in Demand
ECB Preview - Extending Current Pace of PEPP Purchases for 3 More Months
Central Bank Views | China Watch | Oil N' Gold | Special Topics

EUR/USD Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.2161; (P) 1.2189; (R1) 1.2208; More...

EUR/USD is still bounded in range of 1.2103/2265 and intraday bias remains neutral first. On the upside, above 1.2265 will resume the rise from 1.1703 to retest 1.2348 high. On the downside, below 1.2103 will target 1.1985 support. Break there will confirm that consolidation pattern from 1.2348 has started the third leg. Deeper fall would then be seen back to 1.1703 support.

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EURUSD | USDJPY | GBPUSD | USDCHF | AUDUSD | USDCAD

EURJPY | EURGBP | EURCHF | EURAUD | GBPJPY

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Fundamental Analysis | Technical Analysis
In-depth Reports
ECB Signals It's Too Early To Taper
BOC Drew Attention to Rise in Core Inflation
June Flashlight for the FOMC Blackout Period
RBA Will Not Extend YCT and Will Move to More Flexible QE Model
China PMI Reports Suggest that Exports Growth Eased while Price Pressure Intensified
With Central Banks Stepping Back, the Yen Looks Fragile
Economic Calendar
GMT Ccy Events Actual Forecast Previous Revised
23:01 GBP RICS Housing Price Balance May 83% 76% 75% 76%
23:50 JPY PPI Y/Y May 4.90% 4.50% 3.60% 3.80%
01:00 AUD Consumer Inflation Expectations Jun 4.40% 3.50%
06:45 EUR France Industrial Output M/M Apr -0.10% 0.50% 0.80%
08:00 EUR Italy Industrial Output M/M Apr 1.80% 0.30% -0.10% 0.30%
11:45 EUR ECB Interest Rate Decision 0.00% 0.00% 0.00%
12:30 EUR ECB Press Conference
12:30 USD Initial Jobless Claims (Jun 4) 376K 368K 385K
12:30 USD CPI M/M May 0.60% 0.40% 0.80%
12:30 USD CPI Y/Y May 5.00% 4.60% 4.20%
12:30 USD CPI Core M/M May 0.70% 0.40% 0.90%
12:30 USD CPI Core Y/Y May 3.80% 3.40% 3.00%
14:30 USD Natural Gas Storage 99B 98B