Dollar Surges as CPI Reaccelerates on Energy and Food Prices
Action Insight Mid-Day Report 6-10-22

Dollar Surges as CPI Reaccelerates on Energy and Food Prices

Dollar rises strongly in early US session after CPI data. Headline inflation reaccelerated with strong rise in energy and food prices From this perspective, there is little scope for Fed to pause tightening in September. It might instead continue its 50bps per meeting plan for longer. The greenback is now the strongest one for the week, followed by Sterling. Swiss Franc is the worst performing, followed by Yen. Euro is mixed despite ECB's clear hawkish stance while Aussie is weighed down by risk-off sentiment.

Technically, GBP/USD's break of 1.2429 minor support is another evidence of Dollar strength. One focus before the end of the week would be 0.7034 minor support in AUD/USD. Also, there is some knee jerk actions in Gold, which breached 1828.29 support briefly. Attention will also be on whether Gold's selloff will come back quickly on Dollar strength, and break through 1828.29 firmly.

In Europe, at the time of writing, FTSE is down -1.61%. DAX is down -1.69%. CAC is down -1.90%. Germany 10-year yield is down -0.0113 at 1.421. Earlier in Asia, Nikkei dropped -1.49%. Hong Kong HSI dropped -0.29%. China Shanghai SSE rose 1.42%. Singapore Strait Times dropped -0.87%. Japan 10-year JGB yield rose 0.0038 to 0.254.

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GBP/USD Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.2469; (P) 1.2514; (R1) 1.2540; More...

GBP/USD's break of 1.2429 minor support argues that rebound from 1.2154 has completed at 1.2666 already. Intraday bias is back on the downside for retesting 1.2154 low. Firm break there will resume larger down trend. Next target is 61.8% projection of 1.3297 to 1.2154 from 1.2666 at 1.1960. For now, risk will stay on the downside as long as 1.2666 resistance holds, in case of recovery.

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EURUSD | USDJPY | GBPUSD | USDCHF | AUDUSD | USDCAD

EURJPY | EURGBP | EURCHF | EURAUD | GBPJPY

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GMT Ccy Events Actual Forecast Previous Revised
22:45 NZD Manufacturing Sales Q1 1.20% 8.20% 11.90%
23:50 JPY PPI Y/Y May 9.10% 9.80% 10.00% 9.80%
01:30 CNY CPI Y/Y May 2.10% 2.50% 2.10%
01:30 CNY PPI Y/Y May 6.40% 6.50% 8.00%
08:00 EUR Italy Industrial Output M/M Apr 1.60% -1.60% 0.00%
12:30 CAD Net Change in Employment May 39.8K 28.5K 15.3K
12:30 CAD Unemployment Rate May 5.10% 5.20% 5.20%
12:30 USD CPI M/M May 1.00% 0.70% 0.30%
12:30 USD CPI Y/Y May 8.60% 8.20% 8.30%
12:30 USD CPI Core M/M May 0.60% 0.50% 0.60%
12:30 USD CPI Core Y/Y May 6.00% 5.90% 6.20%
14:00 USD Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index Jun P 56.9 58.4