Euro and Sterling Fall on Weak PMI Data

Action Insight Mid-Day Report 6-21-24

Euro and Sterling Fall on Weak PMI Data

Euro fell notably today, along with decline in Eurozone government bond yields, following weaker-than-expected PMI data. Political instability in France is negatively impacting business activity, while Germany's economic recovery has lost momentum. At the same time, surge in Germany's services inflation pressures suggests that ECB is unlikely to implement back-to-back rate cuts in July. The key question now is whether the results of France's snap election, scheduled for June 30 to July 7, will provide positive outcomes for investors and businesses, improving market sentiment.

Sterling also weakened after the release of lower-than-expected Services PMI data. Despite the upcoming general election on July 4, UK faces relatively lower political risk, with Labour expected to win by a landslide according to various polls. This has not provided enough support to Sterling, which continues to struggle alongside other European majors. Meanwhile, Swiss Franc is the weakest among the three major European currencies today, extending its pullback following SNB's rate cut, but with relatively weak momentum...

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Top Movers | HeatMap | Pivot Points | Pivot Meters | Action Bias | Vol

GBP/USD Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.2633; (P) 1.2679; (R1) 1.2704; More...

Intraday bias in GBP/USD is back on the downside as fall from 1.2859 resumed by breaking through 1.2656 temporary low. Firm break of 1.2633 resistance turned support will argue that whole rise from 1.2298 has completed, and target 1.2445 and below. For now, risk will stay on the downside as long as 1.2739 resistance holds, in case of recovery.

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EURUSD | USDJPY | GBPUSD | USDCHF | AUDUSD | USDCAD

EURJPY | EURGBP | EURCHF | EURAUD | GBPJPY

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Economic Calendar
GMT Ccy Events Actual Forecast Previous Revised
23:00 AUD Manufacturing PMI Jun P 47.5 49.7
23:00 AUD Services PMI Jun P 51 52.5
23:01 GBP GfK Consumer Confidence Jun -14 -16 -17
23:30 JPY National CPI Y/Y May 2.80% 2.50%
23:30 JPY National CPI ex Fresh Food Y/Y May 2.50% 2.60% 2.20%
23:30 JPY National CPI ex Food Energy Y/Y May 2.10% 2.40%
00:30 JPY Manufacturing PMI Jun P 50.1 50.6 50.4
00:30 JPY Services PMI Jun P 49.8 53.8
06:00 GBP Retail Sales M/M May 2.90% 1.50% -2.30% -1.80%
06:00 GBP Public Sector Net Borrowing (GBP) May 14.1B 14.8B 19.6B 17.5B
07:15 EUR France Manufacturing PMI Jun P 45.3 46.8 46.4
07:15 EUR France Services PMI Jun P 48.8 50 49.3
07:30 EUR Germany Manufacturing PMI Jun P 43.4 46.4 45.4
07:30 EUR Germany Services PMI Jun P 53.5 54.4 54.2
08:00 EUR Eurozone Manufacturing PMI Jun P 45.6 48 47.3
08:00 EUR Eurozone Services PMI Jun P 52.6 53.5 53.2
08:30 GBP Manufacturing PMI Jun P 51.4 51 51.2
08:30 GBP Services PMI Jun P 51.2 53.2 52.9
12:30 CAD Industrial Product Price M/M May 0.00% 0.40% 1.50% 1.40%
12:30 CAD Raw Material Price Index May -1.00% -0.60% 5.50% 5.30%
12:30 CAD Retail Sales M/M Apr 0.70% 0.70% -0.20% -0.30%
12:30 CAD Retail Sales ex Autos M/M Apr 1.80% 0.50% -0.60% -0.80%
13:45 USD Manufacturing PMI Jun P 51 51.3
13:45 USD Services PMI Jun P 53.5 54.8
14:00 USD Existing Home Sales May 4.10M 4.14M
14:30 USD Natural Gas Storage 69B 74B