Sterling Diving While Dollar Rebounds, Aussie Staying Weak

Action Insight Mid-Day Report 6-28-23

Sterling Diving While Dollar Rebounds, Aussie Staying Weak

Forex markets today are leaning towards mild risk-off sentiment, with traders cautiously awaiting comments from leading central bankers at the ECB forum. This cautious sentiment, interestingly, does not seem to be having a substantial effect on the stock or bond markets yet.

British Pound is experiencing fresh selling, despite expectations of hawkish messages from the head of BoE. Meanwhile, Australian and New Zealand dollars are faring even worse, as they continue to suffer from the aftermath of disappointing Australian CPI data.

On the other hand, Dollar is showing signs of strength at present. Yen is trying to recovery, but still lacks convincing momentum. Euro and Swiss Franc lag slightly behind the greenback and Yen. Let's see how much the picture would change after the central bankers' speeches.

Technically, Gold's fall from 2062.95 is also extending lower today, on the back of Dollar's recovery. Next focus will be on whether there is enough support from 38.2% retracement of 1614.60 to 2062.95 at 1891.68 to bring rebound. Break of 1939.24 minor resistance will be the first sign of bottoming. However, sustained break of 1891.68 would open up deeper fall to 1804.48, and possibly to 61.8% retracement at 1785.86.

In Europe, at the time of writing, FTSE is up 0.71%. DAX is up 0.70%. CAC is up 0.77%. Germany 10-year yield is down -0.035 at 2.325. Earlier in Asia, Nikkei rose 2.02%. Hong Kong HSI rose 0.12%. China Shanghai SSE closed flat. Singapore Strait Times rose 0.06%. Japan 10-year JGB yield rose 0.138 to 0.388.

Full Report Here

Top Movers | HeatMap | Pivot Points | Pivot Meters | Action Bias | Vol

EUR/GBP Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.8573; (P) 0.8593; (R1) 0.8618; More...

EUR/GBP's break of 0.8635 resistance confirms short term bottoming at 0.8517, on bullish convergence condition in 4H MACD. Intraday bias is back on the upside for 55 D EMA (now at 0.8658) and above. For now, as long as 0.8717 support turned resistance holds, fall from 0.8977 could still have another leg through 0.8517 before completion. However, firm break of 0.8717 will turn outlook bullish for 0.8977 resistance next.

Full Report Here

EURUSD | USDJPY | GBPUSD | USDCHF | AUDUSD | USDCAD

EURJPY | EURGBP | EURCHF | EURAUD | GBPJPY

Recommended Readings

CHFJPY Hits Fresh Record High as Yen Falls Apart

All Eyes on ECB Forum as Central Bank Heads Join Panel Discussion

AUD/USD: Aussie Dollar Falls Further on Australian May CPI Well Below Expectations

AUD/JPY Technical: Minor Downtrend Remains Intact

Aussie Slides to 3-Week Low as CPI Falls Sharply

Ethereum's Downward Bias

GBP/JPY Analysis: Highs Since December 2015

XAU/USD: High Borrowing Cost to Continue Hurting Gold's Safe-Haven Appeal

NZDUSD Spikes Lower to Extend its Pullback

USDJPY Unlocks New 7-Month High

WTI Oil: Bears May Take a Breather for Consolidation after 2.2% Drop

EUR/USD Resumes And USD/JPY Could Extend Rally

China's Booster from Premier Li Qiang May Not Last

Fundamental Analysis | Technical Analysis
In-depth Reports
alt
As Yen Collapses, How Likely is FX Intervention?
alt
Bank of England Revs Up Rate Hikes
alt
RBA Minutes Less Hawkish Than Expected, For Now
alt
China's Sluggish—Short & Long-Term—Growth Outlook
Economic Calendar
GMT Ccy Events Actual Forecast Previous Revised
01:30 AUD Monthly CPI Y/Y May 5.60% 6.10% 6.80%
06:00 EUR Germany Gfk Consumer Confidence Jul -25.4 -23 -24.2 -24.4
08:00 CHF Credit Suisse Economic Expectations Jun -30.8 -32.2
08:00 EUR Eurozone M3 Money Supply Y/Y May 1.40% 1.50% 1.90%
12:30 USD Goods Trade Balance (USD) May P -91.1B -92.3B -96.8B
12:30 USD Wholesale Inventories May P -0.10% 0.10% -0.10%
14:30 USD Crude Oil Inventories -1.4M -3.8M