Euro Turning Softer While Swiss Franc is Firm
Action Insight Daily Report 6-29-22

Swiss Franc Power Continues, EUR/CHF Breaks Parity

Swiss Franc continues to rise broadly today, with additional help from selloff in Euro. The common currency is weighed down by Germany CPI, which unexpectedly slowed in June. But for now, Aussie, Sterling and Yen are even weaker than Euro. On the other hand, Canadian Dollar is second strongest as supported by rebound in oil prices, while Dollar is third.

Technically, GBP/CHF's falls through 100% projection 1.3070 to 1.2134 from 1.2598 at 1662 and there is no sign of bottoming yet. Outlook will remain bearish as long as 1.1800 resistance holds, for 161.8% projection at 1.1084, which is close to 202 low at 1.1107. The decline in GBP/CHF could accelerate further if EUR/CHF takes out 0.9970 low with some power.

In Europe, at the time of writing, FTSE is down -0.15%. DAX is down -1.58%. CAC is down -1.08%. Germany 10-year yield is down -0.0039 at 1.590. Earlier in Asia, Nikkei dropped -0.91%. Hong Kong HSI dropped -1.88%. China Shanghai SSE dropped -1.40%. Singapore Strait Times dropped -0.17%. Japan 10-year JGB yield dropped -0.0016 to 0.232.

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Top Movers | HeatMap | Pivot Points | Pivot Meters | Action Bias | Vol

EUR/CHF Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.0042; (P) 1.0086; (R1) 1.0117; More....

EUR/CHF's fall continues today and breaches parity to as low as 0.9990 so far. Intraday bias stays on the downside for retesting 0.9970 low. Decisive break there will resume larger down trend. Next target is 0.9650 long term projection level. On the upside, however, above 1.0214 minor resistance will delay the bearish case, and turn bias back to the upside for stronger rebound.

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EURUSD | USDJPY | GBPUSD | USDCHF | AUDUSD | USDCAD

EURJPY | EURGBP | EURCHF | EURAUD | GBPJPY

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Economic Calendar
GMT Ccy Events Actual Forecast Previous Revised
23:50 JPY Retail Trade Y/Y May 3.60% 4.00% 3.10%
01:30 AUD Retail Sales M/M May 0.90% 0.40% 0.90%
08:00 CHF Credit Suisse Economic Expectations Jun -72.7 -52.6
08:00 EUR Eurozone M3 Money Supply Y/Y May 5.60% 6.10% 6.00% 6.10%
09:00 EUR Eurozone Economic Sentiment Indicator Jun 104 103 105
09:00 EUR Eurozone Services Sentiment Jun 14.8 12.7 14 14.1
09:00 EUR Eurozone Industrial Confidence Jun 7.4 4.7 6.3 6.5
09:00 EUR Eurozone Consumer Confidence Jun F -23.6 -23.6 -23.6
12:00 EUR Germany CPI M/M Jun P 0.10% 0.30% 0.90%
12:00 EUR Germany CPI Y/Y Jun P 7.60% 7.90% 7.90%
12:30 USD GDP Annualized Q1 F -1.60% -1.50% -1.50%
12:30 USD GDP Price Index Q1 F 8.20% 8.10% 8.10%
14:30 USD Crude Oil Inventories