Dollar Mildly Higher after Strong ADP Jobs, But Upside Limited
Action Insight Mid-Day Report 6-3-21

Dollar Mildly Higher after Strong ADP Jobs, But Upside Limited

Dollar trades slightly higher in early US session on much better than expected ADP private job data. Though, upside is so far limited, as traders remain cautious ahead of tomorrow's non-farm payrolls report. Sterling is following as the second strongest for today, then Yen. On the other hand, commodity currencies are generally lower, as led by both Australian and New Zealand Dollars.

Technically, in spite of current recovery, there is no confirmation of a turnaround in Dollar's bearish outlook. The key near term levels include 1.4090 support in GBP/USD, 0.7673 support in AUD/USD, 0.9046 resistance in USD/CHF and 1.2201 resistance in USD/CAD. Dollar's selloff could come back any time as long as these levels hold.

In Europe, at the time of writing, FTSE is down -1.11%. DAX is down -0.42%. CAC is down -0.43%. Germany 10-year yield is up 0.0110 at -0.185. Earlier in Asia, Nikkei rose 0.39%. Hong Kong HSI dropped -1.13%. China Shanghai SSE dropped -0.36%. Singapore Strait Times rose 0.13%. Japan 10-year JGB yield rose 0.0076 to 0.087.

Full Report Here

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EUR/USD Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.2174; (P) 1.2200; (R1) 1.2237; More...

EUR/USD drops mildly today but intraday bias remains neutral first. On the upside, above 1.2265 will resume the rise from 1.1703 to retest 1.2348 high. On the downside, firm break of 1.1985 support should confirm that consolidation pattern from 1.2348 has started the third leg. Deeper fall would then be seen back to 1.1703 support.

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EURUSD | USDJPY | GBPUSD | USDCHF | AUDUSD | USDCAD

EURJPY | EURGBP | EURCHF | EURAUD | GBPJPY

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Economic Calendar
GMT Ccy Events Actual Forecast Previous Revised
22:30 AUD AiG Performance of Construction May 58.3 59.1
01:30 AUD Retail Sales M/M Apr 1.10% 1.10% 1.10%
01:30 AUD Trade Balance (AUD) Apr 8.03B 8.00B 5.57B
01:45 CNY Caixin Services PMI May 55.1 56.2 56.3
07:45 EUR Italy Services PMI May 53.1 52 47.3
07:50 EUR France Services PMI May F 56.6 56.6 56.6
07:55 EUR Germany Services PMI May F 52.8 52.8 52.8
08:00 EUR Eurozone Services PMI May F 55.2 55.1 55.1
08:30 GBP Services PMI May F 62.9 61.8 61.8
11:30 USD Challenger Job Cuts Y/Y May -93.80% -96.60%
12:15 USD ADP Employment Change May 978K 695K 742K 654K
12:30 USD Initial Jobless Claims (May 28) 385K 410K 406K 405K
12:30 USD Nonfarm Productivity Q1 5.40% 5.50% 5.40%
12:30 USD Unit Labor Costs Q1 1.70% -0.40% -0.30%
13:45 USD Services PMI May F 70.1 70.1
14:00 USD ISM Services PMI May 62.9 62.7
14:00 USD ISM Services Employment May 58.8
14:30 USD Natural Gas Storage 95B 115B
15:00 USD Crude Oil Inventories -1.0M -1.7M