Euro Soft on Poor Investor Confidence, Aussie Range Bound ahead of RBA

Action Insight Mid-Day Report 6-5-23

Euro Soft on Poor Investor Confidence, Aussie Range Bound ahead of RBA

Euro is experiencing some selling pressure today, brought on by discouraging investor confidence data, with other European currencies also showing signs of distress. Meanwhile, US Dollar is making strides, superseding commodity currencies as it rides the wave of last week's late rally.

Australian Dollar is trading within a narrow range against Canadian Dollar and New Zealand Dollar, as markets anticipate the outcome of tomorrow's RBA rate decision. On the other hand, the Japanese Yen presents a mixed picture as it continues in its near-term consolidation phase.

Technically, the strong rally in AUD/NZD in the last two weeks argues that corrective pattern from 1.1085 has completed with three waves down to 1.0556. Immediate focus is now on 1.0928 resistance in the coming session. Decisive break there will confirm this case and would probably prompt further rise through 1.1085, to resume the whole rebound from 1.0469. Nevertheless, break of 1.0769 minor support will revive some near term bearishness for deeper fall back to 1.0556.

RBA previews:

In Europe, at the time of writing, FTSE is up 0.49%. DAX is up 0.16%. CAC is down -0.16%. Germany 10-year yield is up 0.0067 at 2.383. Earlier in Asia, Nikkei rose 2.20%. Hong Kong HSI rose 0.84%. China Shanghai SSE rose 0.07%. Singapore Strait Times rose 0.72%. Japan 10-year JGB yield closed flat at 0.434.

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Top Movers | HeatMap | Pivot Points | Pivot Meters | Action Bias | Vol

EUR/USD Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.0682; (P) 1.0731; (R1) 1.0756; More...

EUR/USD dips notably today but stays above 1.0634 support. Intraday bias remains neutral first. On the downside, break of 1.0634 will resume the corrective decline from 1.1094. Deeper fall should then be seen to 1.0515 cluster support, 38.2% retracement of 0.9534 to 1.1094 at 1.0498. On the upside, however, above 1.0778 will resume the rebound from 1.0634 to 55 D EMA (now at 1.0829).

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EURUSD | USDJPY | GBPUSD | USDCHF | AUDUSD | USDCAD

EURJPY | EURGBP | EURCHF | EURAUD | GBPJPY

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Economic Calendar
GMT Ccy Events Actual Forecast Previous Revised
01:00 AUD TD Securities Inflation M/M May 0.90% 0.20%
01:30 AUD Company Gross Operating Profits Q/Q Q1 0.50% 2.10% 10.60% 12.70%
01:45 CNY Caixin Services PMI May 57.1 55.2 56.4
06:00 EUR Germany Trade Balance (EUR) Apr 18.4B 16.1B 16.7B 14.9B
06:30 CHF CPI M/M May 0.30% 0.40% 0.00%
06:30 CHF CPI Y/Y May 2.20% 2.10% 2.60%
07:45 EUR Italy Services PMI May 54 53.7 57.6
07:50 EUR France Services PMI May F 52.5 52.8 52.8
07:55 EUR Germany Services PMI May F 57.2 57.8 57.8
08:00 EUR Eurozone Services PMI May F 55.1 55.9 55.9
08:30 EUR Eurozone Sentix Investor Confidence Jun -17 -9.2 -13.1
08:30 GBP Services PMI May F 55.2 55.1 55.1
09:00 EUR Eurozone PPI M/M Apr -3.20% -2.70% -1.60%
09:00 EUR Eurozone PPI Y/Y Apr 1.00% 0.80% 5.90%
13:45 USD Services PMI May F 55.1 55.1
14:00 USD ISM Services PMI May 52.6 51.9
14:00 USD Factory Orders M/M Apr 0.80% 0.90%