Dollar Rises as CPI Hits Another Four-Decade High
Action Insight Mid-Day Report 7-13-22

Dollar Rises as CPI Hits Another Four-Decade High

Dollar rises in early US session after data shows that headline consumer inflation accelerated once again in June, to the highest level since 1981. Yen is currently the worst performing one on rise in US and European benchmark yields. But there is prospect for recovery in Yen, except versus Dollar, if risk off sentiment intensifies. Kiwi is also on the softer side despite RBNZ rate hike earlier today. Euro is under performing Sterling and Swiss Franc. Canadian Dollar is resilient for now and the next move will depend on BoC rate decision.

Technically, USD/CAD will be a focus for the rest of the session. Sustained break of 1.3075 resistance will extend larger up trend to 100% projection of 1.2005 to 1.2947 from 1.2401 at 1.3343. If that happens, it would be the final piece to confirm Dollar's underlying momentum. But, break of 1.2818 near term support will raise the chance of another rejection by 1.3075.

In Europe, at the time of writing, FTSE is down -1.30%. DAX is down -1.87%. CAC is down -1.70%. Germany 10-year yield is up 0.0796 at 1.209. Earlier in Asia, Nikkei rose 0.54%. Hong Kong HSI dropped -0.22%. China Shanghai SSE rose 0.09%. Singapore Strait Times dropped -0.54%. Japan 10-year JGB yield dropped -0.0061 to 0.238.

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USD/JPY Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 136.39; (P) 136.96; (R1) 137.44; More...

USD/JPY rises in early US session but stays below 137.73 temporary top. Intraday bias remains neutral first. In case of another retreat, downside should be contained by 134.73 support to bring rebound. Firm break of 137.74 will resume larger up trend to 100% projection of 114.40 to 131.34 from 126.35 at 143.29.

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EURUSD | USDJPY | GBPUSD | USDCHF | AUDUSD | USDCAD

EURJPY | EURGBP | EURCHF | EURAUD | GBPJPY

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Economic Calendar
GMT Ccy Events Actual Forecast Previous Revised
02:00 NZD RBNZ Interest Rate Decision 2.50% 2.50% 2.00%
06:00 GBP GDP M/M May 0.50% 0.00% -0.30%
06:00 GBP Index of Services 3M/3M May 0.10% 0.20% 0.00% 0.20%
06:00 GBP Industrial Production M/M May 0.90% 0.00% -0.60% -0.10%
06:00 GBP Industrial Production Y/Y May 1.40% 1.70% 0.70% 1.60%
06:00 GBP Manufacturing Production M/M May 1.40% 0.10% -1.00% -0.60%
06:00 GBP Manufacturing Production Y/Y May 2.30% 0.30% 0.50% 1.30%
06:00 GBP Goods Trade Balance (GBP) May -21.4B -18.3B -20.9B -21.5B
06:00 EUR Germany CPI M/M Jun F 0.10% 0.10% 0.10%
06:00 EUR Germany CPI Y/Y Jun F 7.60% 7.60% 7.60%
09:00 EUR Eurozone Industrial Production M/M May 0.80% 0.20% 0.40%
11:00 GBP NIESR GDP Estimate (3M) Jun 0.20% -0.10% 0.40%
12:30 USD CPI M/M Jun 1.30% 1.00% 1.00%
12:30 USD CPI Y/Y Jun 9.10% 8.70% 8.60%
12:30 USD CPI Core M/M Jun 0.70% 0.50% 0.60%
12:30 USD CPI Core Y/Y Jun 5.90% 5.70% 6.00%
14:00 CAD BoC Interest Rate Decision 2.25% 1.50%
14:30 USD Crude Oil Inventories -1.5M 8.2M
18:00 USD Fed's Beige Book