Dollar Struggles to Ride on Strong NFP, Retreating Mildly
Action Insight Mid-Day Report 7-2-21

Dollar Struggles to Ride on Strong NFP, Retreating Mildly

Dollar struggles to ride on stronger than expected non-farm payroll growth, and it's indeed retreating notably in early US session. Stocks are also not too enthusiastic so far, with DOW futures up only around 0.2% at the time of writing. Still, the greenback is more likely to finish as the strongest one for the week, followed by Yen. Canadian Dollar is trading to catch up. But Australian and New Zealand Dollar remain the worst.

Technically, as USD/CAD dips notably, we'd pay attention to 4 hour 55 EMA (now at 1.2353). Break there will bring deeper fall towards 1.2251 support. That, if happens, could be an earlier warning that Dollar is turning weaker elsewhere again.

In Europe, at the time of writing, FTSE is up 0.20%. DAX is up 0.55%. CAC is up 0.17%. Germany 10-year yield is down -0.0381 at -0.235. Earlier in Asia, Nikkei rose 0.27%. Hong Kong HSI dropped -1.80%. China Shanghai SSE dropped -1.95%. Singapore Strait Times rose 0.15%. Japan 10-year JGB yield rose 0.0059 to 0.046.

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EUR/USD Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.1830; (P) 1.1857; (R1) 1.1876; More...

Some jitter is seen in EUR/USD in early US session. But intraday bias stays on the downside with 1.1883 minor resistance intact. Fall from 1.2263, as the third leg of the consolidation pattern from 1.2348, should target 1.1703 support. On the upside, above 1.1883 minor resistance will turn intraday bias neutral first. But break of 1.1974 resistance is needed to indicate short term bottoming. Otherwise, outlook will remain bearish in case of recovery.

Full Report Here

EURUSD | USDJPY | GBPUSD | USDCHF | AUDUSD | USDCAD

EURJPY | EURGBP | EURCHF | EURAUD | GBPJPY

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Economic Calendar
GMT Ccy Events Actual Forecast Previous Revised
23:50 JPY Monetary Base Y/Y Jun 19.10% 24.30% 22.40%
09:00 EUR Eurozone PPI M/M May 1.30% 1.20% 1.00% 0.90%
09:00 EUR Eurozone PPI Y/Y May 9.60% 9.50% 7.60%
12:30 CAD Building Permits M/M May -14.80% 0.30% -0.50%
12:30 CAD Trade Balance (CAD) May -1.4B 0.4B 0.6B
12:30 USD Nonfarm Payrolls Jun 850K 675K 559K 583K
12:30 USD Unemployment Rate Jun 5.90% 5.60% 5.80%
12:30 USD Average Hourly Earnings M/M Jun 0.30% 0.40% 0.50% 0.40%
12:30 USD Trade Balance (USD) May -71.2B -71.0B -68.9B -69.1B
14:00 USD Factory Orders M/M May 1.40% -0.60%